How do US elections affect the S&P 500 performance?

A lot of noise but AI theme remains intact: Barclays

August 30, 2024 9:11 AM EDT

Despite recent market volatility, Barclays analysts maintain that the AI investment theme remains robust.

The bank said in a note Friday that while equities have been navigating various challengessuch as the Jackson Hole meeting, Nvidias earnings, and upcoming payroll datathe broader AI narrative continues to be a driving force in the market.

Barclays highlighted that Nvidia, a key player in the AI space, faced high expectations following a... More

What are active managers buying?

August 30, 2024 8:06 AM EDT

In the second quarter, long-only funds (LOs) made significant moves by increasing their exposure to Communication Services, boosting their relative weight in the sector by five percentage points to over 30% overweight, according to a note from Bank of America on Friday.

In its active managers holding update note, BofA says the shift underscores a growing confidence in a sector that was already considered "the most crowded" as LOs sought to capitalize on its perceived stability.

To fund this shift, LOs... More

BCA sees S&P 500 'meaningfully lower 6-to-12 months from today'

August 30, 2024 7:09 AM EDT

BCA Research has issued a bearish outlook for the S&P 500, warning that stock prices are likely to be "meaningfully lower 6-to-12 months from today."

"Investors should maintain an underweight stance toward risky assets," wrote BCA.

The firm states that the prediction comes amid growing concerns about the U.S. economy's ability to avoid a recession as labor demand weakens and inflationary pressures persist.

"The U.S. economy is now at the point... More

Global S&P Futures mixed in premarket, Nikkei mixed, DAX mixed, WTI Crude oil recently at $76, natural gas mixed, gold at $2558

August 30, 2024 5:50 AM EDT

Global S&P Futures mixed in premarket, Nikkei mixed, DAX mixed, WTI Crude oil recently at $76, natural gas mixed, gold at $2558

... More

S&P 500, Nasdaq Quickly Erase Gains

August 29, 2024 2:40 PM EDT

S&P 500, Nasdaq Quickly Erase Gains

The reason for the sudden decline wasn't clear.... More

Moran Stanley downgrades European energy, auto sectors; upgrades real estate

August 29, 2024 1:23 PM EDT

Morgan Stanley made adjustments to its sector recommendations in Europe, downgrading the energy and automotive sectors while upgrading real estate and diversified financials to overweight in a note Thursday.

According to Morgan Stanley, the energy sector has been downgraded from equal-weight to underweight due to expected peak crude oil market tightness, the resumption of OPEC and non-OPEC production growth after the... More

Fitch Affirms the US at 'AA+'; Outlook Stable

August 29, 2024 12:55 PM EDT

(Updated - August 29, 2024 12:57 PM EDT)

Fitch rating agency affirmed the United States of America at at 'AA+' rating with a stable outlook.

Supported by structural strengths of high per capita income, position as largest economy, dynamic business environment.U.S. ratings constrained by high fiscal... More

Rate cuts plus soft landing should see bank stocks outperform, says Wells Fargo

August 29, 2024 10:02 AM EDT

Wells Fargo analysts believe that bank stocks are poised to outperform in the event of a soft landing combined with anticipated rate cuts, according to a recent note.

In a note to clients on Thursday, the firm emphasizes that historically, rate cuts without a recession have been favorable for bank stocks, particularly in the short term.

"Rate cuts with no recession (1995, 1998, 2019) result in bank stocks rallying," Wells Fargo wrote.

They observed that... More

Pending Home Sales -5.5% vs 0.2% Expected

August 29, 2024 10:00 AM EDT

Pending Home Sales -5.5% vs 0.2% Expected

... More

Wholesale Inventories (Jul P) 0.3% vs 0.3% Expected

August 29, 2024 8:30 AM EDT

Wholesale Inventories (Jul P) 0.3% vs 0.3% Expected

... More