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Drybulkers Rise as Genco (GNK) Grows Bullish on FY13 (DRYS) (FREE) (EGLE)

March 21, 2013 11:57 AM EDT
Drybulk shippers are ripping on the session, which may have something to do with results and commentary from Genco Shipping & Trading (NYSE: GNK).

After markets closed on Wednesday, the company reported Q4 loss of $1.06 per share, wider than expectations calling for a loss of 88 cents per share. Revs of $49.25 million were also lower than expectations.

Specific guidance wasn't issued, but investors might be taking a peek at the company's Q412 presentation. In part, the company noted:
  • Scrapping increased 45 percent last year on a tonnage basis;

  • Chinese iron ore inventories have declined to 69.4 Mt, the lowest level since November 2010;

  • Iron ore prices have rebounded to over $150 per ton;

  • Chinese industrial production rose 10.3% in December from a year earlier, the fourth consecutive month of improvement;

  • Chinese steel production increased by 3.1% in 2012 compared to 2011;

  • China's Ministry of Transportation plans to more than double its network of high-speed railways by 2015;

  • China plans to start construction on 6 million social housing units and complete the construction of 4.6 million units in 2013;

  • Total seaborne iron ore and coal trade are estimated to grow by 6% and 5% YOY in 2013, respectively;

  • Australian iron ore exports are forecast to increase by 13% to 543 Mt in 2013;

  • Peak winter season electricity demand has led to robust thermal coal derived electricity production in China;

  • Indian thermal coal fixture volume remains robust as domestic supply lags behind demand;
    -December Indian thermal coal imports reached a record high of 140 Mt on an annualized basis, becoming the second largest consumer of seaborne coal

  • Activity for Panamax vessels is picking up due the onset of South American grain season; and

  • Brazilian grain exports in the second half of 2012 offset shortages from weak US grain season due to drought.

On watch today include names like DryShips (Nasdaq: DRYS), Paragon Shipping (NYSE: PRGN), Eagle Bulk Shipping (Nasdaq: EGLE), FreeSeas (Nasdaq: FREE), and Navios Maritime (NYSE: NM), among others.


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