Form DEFA14A GOLDEN QUEEN MINING CO

April 11, 2019 2:38 PM EDT

 

 

UNITED STATES

SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION

Washington, D.C. 20549

 

FORM 8-K

 

CURRENT REPORT

Pursuant to Section 13 or 15(d) of

the Securities Exchange Act of 1934

 

Date of Report:

April 11, 2019

(Date of earliest event reported)

 

Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.

(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)

 

Commission File Number: 001-21777

 

 

  

British Columbia, Canada Not Applicable
(State or other jurisdiction of incorporation) (IRS Employer Identification No.)

 

#2300 – 1066 West Hastings Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, Canada, V6E 3X2

(Address of principal executive offices, including zip code)

 

(778) 373-1557

(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)

 

Not Applicable

(Former name or former address, if changed since last report)

 

Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:

 

¨Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)

 

xSoliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)

 

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))

 

¨Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))

 

Indicate by check mark whether the registrant is an emerging growth company as defined in Rule 405 of the Securities Act of 1933 (§230.405 of this chapter) or Rule 12b-2 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934 (§240.12b-2 of this chapter).

 

Emerging growth company o

 

If an emerging growth company, indicate by check mark if the registrant has elected not to use the extended transition period for complying with any new or revised financial accounting standards provided pursuant to Section 13(a) of the Exchange Act. o

 

 

 

 

Item 7.01Regulation FD Disclosure.

 

On April 11, 2019, Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd. (the “Registrant”) issued a press release entitled “GOLDEN QUEEN MAILS AND FILES ANNUAL GENERAL AND SPECIAL MEETING MATERIALS IN CONNECTION WITH THE PROPOSED TRANSACTION.” A copy of the press release is attached as Exhibit 99.2 and is incorporated herein by reference.

 

In accordance with General Instruction B.2 of Form 8-K, the information in this report, including the exhibit attached hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such a filing.

 

Item 8.01Other Events

 

On April 11, 2019, the Registrant filed a Schedule 14A (which includes a proxy statement, the “Proxy Statement”) in connection with the annual general and special meeting (the “Meeting”) of holders of common shares to be held at #2300 – 1066 West Hastings Street, Vancouver, British Columbia at on May 13, 2019 at 10:00 a.m. (Pacific Time). At the Meeting, the Registrant’s shareholders will be asked to approve a proposed transaction involving the sale of 100% of the Company’s 50% ownership interest in the Soledad Mountain Project (the “Transaction”). The Proxy Statement is dated April 10, 2019 and is expected to be first sent or given to shareholders of the Registrant on or about April 15, 2019.

 

The Proxy Statement contains a summary of the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion dated April 5, 2019 with an effective date of April 1, 2019 prepared for the Special Committee of the Registrant by Ernst & Young LLP (the “Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion”). Pursuant to applicable Canadian securities laws, the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion is required to be filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov by the Registrant. The summary of the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion contained in the Proxy Statement should be read in conjunction with, and is qualified in its entirety by, the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion filed as Exhibit 99.1 hereto, and the more detailed information related to the Transaction contained in the Proxy Statement, including the schedules attached thereto.

 

SHAREHOLDERS ARE STRONGLY ADVISED TO READ THE REGISTRANT’S PROXY STATEMENT (INCLUDING ANY AMENDMENTS OR SUPPLEMENTS THERETO) AND ANY OTHER DOCUMENTS FILED WITH THE SEC WHEN THEY BECOME AVAILABLE BECAUSE THEY WILL CONTAIN IMPORTANT INFORMATION.

 

Additional Information and Where to Find It

 

The Proxy Statement and the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion has been filed on SEDAR at www.sedar.com and on EDGAR at www.sec.gov by the Registrant and will be available for inspection at the corporate offices of the Registrant at #2300 – 1066 West Hastings Street, Vancouver, BC, V6E 3X2 during regular business hours. Shareholders may also request a copy of the Proxy Statement and/or the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion from Golden Queen free of charge by contacting Brenda Dayton, Corporate Secretary, by telephone at 1-778-373-1557, or by email at [email protected]. Copies of the Proxy Statement may also be obtained by contacting Laurel Hill Advisory Group, our proxy solicitation agent, by telephone at 1-877-452-7184, or by email at [email protected].

 

This current report may be deemed to be solicitation material.

 

 

 

 

Item 9.01Financial Statements and Exhibits.

 

(d)Exhibits

 

Exhibit No.Description

 

99.1Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion
99.2*Press Release of Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.

 

*Furnished to not filed with the SEC pursuant to Item 7.01 above.

 

 

 

 

SIGNATURE

 

Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned hereunto duly authorized.

 

  GOLDEN QUEEN MINING CO. LTD.
   
  Date: April 11, 2019    
       
  By:

/s/ Brenda Dayton

     

Brenda Dayton

Corporate Secretary

 

 

 

 

EXHIBIT INDEX

 

 

Exhibit No.Description

 

 99.1Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion
99.2*Press Release of Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.

 

*Furnished to not filed with the SEC pursuant to Item 7.01 above.

 

 

 

Exhibit 99.1

 

Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.

Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion as at April 1, 2019

 

 

   

 

 

 

  

Table of Contents    
Introduction   3
Engagement of EY   3
Credentials of EY   4
Independence of EY   4
Fair market value   4
Scope of review   5
Prior valuations   5
Assumptions and limitations   5
Corporate overview   7
The Mine   8
Reserves and resources at the Mine   10
Golden Queen’s share price history   10
Historical operating results   11
Industry overview   14
United States economic overview   14
Global economic overview   14
Valuation methodologies   16
Income approach   16
Market approach   16
Cost approach   16
Selected approaches   17
Income approach: discounted cash flow analysis   17
LOM overview   17
Discount rate   17
NAV multiple   18
DCF analysis   19
Mine value based on WACC - NPVWACC   20
Mine value based on 5% discount rate and NAV multiple - NPV5% x NAV   20
Market approach: Trading multiples   21
Market approach: Transaction multiples   23
Summarized value of the Mine   25
Adjusted net asset approach   25
Value range in respect of Golden Queen common shares   25
Conclusion of value of Golden Queen common shares   26
Conclusion of value of the Proposed Transaction   26
EY’s opinion and its rationale   26
Schedule of Limiting Conditions   28

 

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PRIVATE & CONFIDENTIAL

 

The Special Committee of the Board of Directors of

Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.

1066 West Hastings Street, Suite 2300

Vancouver, BC

V6E 3X2

April 5, 2019

 

Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion

 

Introduction

 

On January 8, 2019, Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd. (“Golden Queen”) announced that on January 4, 2019 it received a preliminary non-binding proposal letter from Mr. Thomas M. Clay, on behalf of certain members of the Clay family and associated entities (collectively, the “Clay Group”), wherein the Clay Group proposed to acquire all of the outstanding equity interests of Golden Queen Mining Company, LLC (“GQM LLC”) held indirectly by Golden Queen in exchange for: (i) the surrender of the notes and all indebtedness held by the Clay Group under a loan agreement dated November 21, 2016; (ii) surrender of all common shares, warrants and options of Golden Queen held by the Clay Group; and (iii) a cash payment. GQM LLC at that time held a 100% ownership interest in the Soledad Mountain Project (the “Mine”) and Golden Queen held a 50% effective interest in GQM LLC, subject to certain options held by Gauss LLC (as described herein) on Golden Queen’s indirect interest in GQM LLC.

 

On February 8, 2019, Golden Queen announced that it had entered into a binding share purchase agreement (the “Transaction Agreement”) with the Clay Group, whereby the Clay Group agreed to acquire Golden Queen’s wholly-owned US subsidiary Golden Queen Mining Holdings Inc. (“GQM US”), through which Golden Queen held its ownership interest in GQM LLC (the “Proposed Transaction”). The purchase price (the “Consideration”) comprised of:

 

1.extinguishment of all amounts owing to the Clay Group by Golden Queen;

 

2.cancellation of all of the Clay Group’s ownership interest in Golden Queen (consisting of 177,701,229 common shares, 457,500 options and 18,000,000 warrants);

 

3.cash consideration of US$4.25 million; and

 

4.a contingent payment if at any time prior to June 30, 2020, the Clay Group sells or transfers the acquired interest for net proceeds greater than US$55 million (subject to adjustment in certain circumstances); where the contingent amount would be measured as 20% of such excess proceeds (the “Contingent Payment”).

 

The Transaction Agreement allowed Golden Queen to continue to solicit an alternative acquisition proposal that would be superior (a “Superior Proposal”) to the terms of the Proposed Transaction during the period of February 7, 2019 to April 1, 2019 (the “Go Shop Period”), subject to customary deal-protection provisions, including a right for the Clay Group to match any Superior Proposal. The Transaction Agreement also included a termination fee of US$1 million, payable by Golden Queen, under certain circumstances, including if the Transaction Agreement is terminated in connection with Golden Queen accepting a Superior Proposal.

 

Engagement of EY

 

We are advised by legal counsel for the Special Committee of the Board of Directors of Golden Queen (“Special Committee”) that the formal valuation requirements set forth in Multilateral Instrument 61-101, Protection of the Minority Security Holders in Special Transactions (“MI 61-101”) apply to the Proposed Transaction.

 

In connection with the Proposed Transaction, the Special Committee has engaged Ernst & Young LLP (“EY”) to prepare and deliver to the Special Committee:

 

  Page 3

 

 

 

 

a.a formal valuation of the issued and outstanding common shares of Golden Queen in accordance with the requirements of MI 61-101 (the “Formal Valuation”); and

 

b.an opinion as to whether the Consideration payable by the Clay Group pursuant to the Proposed Transaction, is fair, from a financial point of view, to the holders of common shares of Golden Queen, other than the Clay Group (the “Fairness Opinion”).

 

This Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion has been prepared to provide information for consideration by the Special Committee with respect to the Proposed Transaction, but does not constitute a recommendation to any party as to any course of action they might take. Despite any conclusions reached herein, the circumstances of individual shareholders will necessarily determine what course of action they will take in responding to the Proposed Transaction.

 

The Formal Valuation has been prepared in accordance with the practice standards of The Canadian Institute of Chartered Business Valuators (“CICBV”).

 

Credentials of EY

 

EY is one of the largest global professional service firms, providing assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. EY’s global transaction services include: valuations and fairness opinions, corporate finance and merger & acquisition advisory, transaction diligence and integration, transaction tax advisory, and corporate restructuring.

 

Independence of EY

 

EY has developed the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion herein on the basis of an independent review and analysis of Golden Queen. The conclusions expressed herein are that of EY, including approval by a committee of senior EY practitioners, experienced in providing valuation and fairness opinions, merger & acquisition advisory services, and other corporate transaction services.

 

The analysis herein and the conclusions reached are those of the valuation professionals within EY.

 

EY is independent of all “interested parties” to the Proposed Transaction, in accordance with the requirements of MI 61-101 and in accordance with EY’s professional standards:

 

·Over the past three years EY’s services to Leucadia National Corp. (an indirect partial owner of GQM LLC) have been limited to non-audit services that are not a conflict under MI 61-101 or EY’s independence policies.

 

·No services were provided to Golden Queen, Jonathan Clay, Thomas M. Clay, Harris Clay, The Landon T. Clay 2009 Irrevocable Trust, or Auvergne LLC during the past three years.

 

·Based on our review, EY is “independent” of all “interested parties” to the Proposed Transaction as such terms are defined in MI 61-101:

 

·EY has no financial interest in Golden Queen and its subsidiaries, or in the outcome of the Proposed Transaction.

 

·EY has not conducted a prior valuation of Golden Queen, as determined in accordance with applicable securities regulations.

 

·There are no understandings or agreements between EY and Golden Queen or its associates or affiliates, with respect to future business dealings.

 

·EY’s fees are not contingent on the completion of the Proposed Transaction or on the conclusions expressed herein.

 

Fair market value

 

The analysis and estimate of value set out herein have been developed with reference to the concepts of fair market value, defined under MI 61-101 as:

 

  Page 4

 

 

 

“The monetary consideration that, in an open and unrestricted market, a prudent and informed buyer would pay to a prudent and informed seller, each acting at arm's length with the other and under no compulsion to act.” 1

 

Scope of review

 

In developing this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion, EY had discussions with the Special Committee and management of Golden Queen (“Management”), conducted the procedures noted below, and relied on information obtained from these general procedures, without independent verification, which among others included:

 

1.Reviewed the terms of the Proposed Transaction.

 

2.Reviewed the business of Golden Queen, including review of certain business and financial information deemed to be relevant.

 

3.Reviewed historical annual audited financial statements of Golden Queen for the years ended December 31, 2013 to 2018 and interim unaudited financial statements as at February 28, 2019.

 

4.Conducted discussions with Management.

 

5.Prepared value analyses relating to the Mine, GQM LLC, GQM US, Golden Queen and the common shares of Golden Queen.

 

6.Prepared value analyses of the assets and interests involved in the Proposed Transaction.

 

7.Reviewed historical trading prices of the Golden Queen’s common shares.

 

8.Reviewed various background materials concerning Golden Queen’s business, debt and equity financing efforts by Golden Queen, including efforts of Maxit Capital LP during the Go Shop Period, as well as, industry data and information considered relevant to assessing fairness from a financial point of view.

 

9.Reviewed a range of economic, investment, stock and commodity market trading, and acquisition transaction data in the process of developing factors and rates of return relevant to the assessing fairness from a financial point of view.

 

10.Prepared this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion.

 

11.Assessed fairness of the Proposed Transaction to the common shareholders of Golden Queen, other than the Clay Group, from a financial point of view.

 

Prior valuations

 

The Chief Financial Officer of Golden Queen has represented to EY that, to the best of his knowledge, information and belief, and after due enquiry, there are no valuations or appraisals relating to Golden Queen or any of its subsidiaries or any of their respective material properties or assets made in the preceding 24 months.

 

Assumptions and limitations

 

EY has relied upon the completeness, accuracy and fair presentation of all of the financial and other information obtained from public sources, and from Management for purposes of developing the valuation and fairness conclusions set out herein. This Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion is conditional upon the completeness and accuracy of such information. Subject to the exercise of professional valuation judgement and except as expressly described herein, we have not attempted to verify for valuation purposes the completeness, accuracy or fair presentation of any of the information relied upon in developing this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion. The attached Schedule of Limiting Conditions includes additional assumptions concerning the information reviewed.

 

 

1Consistent with MI 61-101, Section 6.4 (2) (d), we have not made any downward adjustments to reflect the liquidity of the common shares, the effect of the Proposed Transaction on the common shares or the fact that the common shares may or may not form part of a controlling interest.

 

  Page 5

 

 

 

Based on representations from Management, EY has assumed that there are no material changes in the financial position or operating results (other than changes in debt balances) for Golden Queen, including its wholly and partially owned entities, from the date of the most recently available audited financial statements, December 31, 2018, to April 1, 2019 (the “Valuation Date”).

 

Management has represented to us that the information provided for the purpose of this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion is true and correct in all material respects as of April 5, 2019.This Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion has been prepared for the specific purpose identified above and is not to be used in any other context without the express written consent of EY. This Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion is developed as of a specific date on the basis of identifiable information and EY has not undertaken to update it to any other date. Should information relevant to the conclusions herein become available to EY subsequent to the date of this report, EY reserves the right, but will be under no obligation, to revise this report.

 

In completing the Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion, EY has made numerous assumptions with respect to economic, industry, and company performance and expectations that are matters over which EY has no control. Going concern business value is inherently and inescapably a matter of implicit or explicit perceptions of the potential future economic performance of the business to be valued and the environment in which that performance will take place. Recognizing that those perceptions are developed under conditions where neither contractual nor other bases exist to ensure that actual operating results will conform to the assumptions employed for valuation purposes, this analysis necessarily works with contingent and uncertain information and there is a corresponding degree of uncertainty in the resultant estimates of value.

 

In some measure this uncertainty is recognized in the process of specifying the valuation results as a range of amounts. However, such range specification also acknowledges that in any market for a total business enterprise it is necessary to assume multiple bidders each of which will bring different perceptions of the potential for the business as an investment opportunity to bear on the acquisition bidding process. It must accordingly be recognized that EY does not warrant that the projections and estimates employed in developing this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion represent commitments as to what the future performance of the businesses will be.

 

The values are considered to be reasonable estimates on the basis of the information and assumptions upon which they are predicated and as of the time when the estimates were developed. However, should significant deviations from these assumptions emerge in the future, the estimates may well cease to be representative of value.

 

EY believes that its analysis within this Formal Valuation and Fairness Opinion must be considered as a whole and that selecting portions of this analysis without considering the other factors and analyses, may create a misleading view of the valuation process and valuation results.

 

Unless otherwise specified, all dollar amounts herein are expressed in Canadian dollars (“C$”).

  

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Corporate overview

 

The following chart depicts the current corporate structure of Golden Queen, including its material subsidiaries and ownership of the Mine, as well as Golden Queen’s joint venture partner in the Mine.

 

 

1.Golden Queen is listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange and was incorporated in 1985. It acquired its initial interest in the Mine in 1985. The Clay Group owns approximately 59.21% of Golden Queen’s common shares2.

 

 

2Given that the 457,500 options and 18,000,000 warrants held by the Clay Group are not in the money they have not been considered in computing the Clay Group’s percentage ownership interest.

  

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2.Golden Queen Mining Canada Ltd. is a 100% owned Canadian subsidiary of Golden Queen. This entity is a holding company which we understand will be wound up into Golden Queen following the completion of the Transaction. It is not discussed hereinafter as its only asset is its equity interest in GQM US.

 

3.GQM US is a 100% owned US subsidiary of Golden Queen. It holds a 50% (see 4 below) interest in the Mine through a joint venture (“JV”), GQM LLC.

 

4.GQM LLC is a JV owned equally by GQM US and Gauss LLC. On October 12, 2018 Gauss LLC, as part of a revolving credit facility obtained warrants which would allow it to acquire a 7.5% interest in GQM LLC for an exercise price of approximately US$10 million. The warrants expire in October 2023.

 

5.Gauss LLC is owned:

 

a.75.46% by Jefferies Financial Group Inc. (formerly called Leucadia National Corp.), a New York Stock Exchange listed financial services company, and

 

  b. 24.54% by Auvergne LLC (“Auvergne”). Auvergne is controlled by the Clay Group.

 

The Mine

 

The Mine is an open pit, heap leach mining operation producing gold and silver and is located just outside the town of Mojave in Kern County, in southern California.

 

The Mine is located approximately 8 km south of the town of Mojave. Los Angeles is about 113 km south of Mojave. Mojave is a railroad hub for the Burlington Northern/Santa Fe and Union Pacific/Southern Pacific railroad lines. This proximity provides good access to infrastructure and other services.

 

Mojave and the surrounding areas are areas of relatively high unemployment and employment has not recovered since the start of the financial downturn in 2008. The Mine has therefore had a positive response from the local communities.

 

Construction permits were issued in February 2012 and were subsequently converted to a permit to operate after construction had been completed.

 

Golden Queen completed site preparations and started construction of infrastructure-related items in July 2013. In June 2014, Golden Queen announced that Gauss LLC would invest US$110 million and become a 50% JV partner in respect of the Soledad Mountain property. The JV investment closed in September 2014. Construction was completed in February 2016 with first gold pour occurring on March 1, 2016. The Mine achieved commercial production in December 2016 when the process plant was operating in line with design specifications and management expectations.

 

The crushing screening plant consists of a three-stage process and is sized to process 5.1 million tons (4.6 million tonnes) of ore per year. The crushing screening plant includes a primary and secondary cone crusher, primary screen, and HPGR (High Pressure Grinding Rolls).

 

The HPGR discharge is conveyed to an agglomeration drum where cement and process solution are added, and then conveyed by overland conveyor and a series of grass-hopper conveyors to a stacker and placed on the heap leach pad.

 

Gold and silver recovery is by dissolution in a dilute sodium cyanide solution and then by recovery in the Merrill-Crowe process, which includes the typical clarification, deaeration, precipitation with zinc dust, and filtration, drying (retorting), and smelting of the precious metal sludge into a doré product.

 

The heap leach pad is a multi-lift single-use pad. The design considered development in four stages to minimize initial capital costs and improve solution management. The designed pad capacity was approximately 51.6 million tons (46.8 million tonnes), with a planned height of 230 ft (70 m) and individual lifts designed for 33 ft (10 m) in height. The actual leach pad capacity constructed is less than what was designed.

  

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The heap surface is irrigated with diluted cyanide solution by drip emitters, for a primary leaching cycle of 70 days and a complete leach cycle of 270 to 290 days. The Mine presently is unable to meet the 270- to 290-day cycle as the Mine’s wet process is limited in the amount of solution that can be placed on the leach pad, limiting the tonnage of ore under leach and hence production, resulting in higher gold in inventory on the pad.

 

The Mine ships doré made on site to a refinery for smelting and refining to produce saleable gold and silver.

 

A by-product of mining at the Mine is aggregate, which can be used for construction materials, with delivery in the southern California market possible given proximity to major highways and railway lines. The source of raw materials is quality waste rock specifically stockpiled for this purpose. Additionally, we understand that the Mine is permitted as a quarry. The waste rock and any quarried materials are intended to be sold over an extended period beyond the current mine life. Operating a quarry after the current mine life is expected to mitigate rehabilitation obligations. No contribution from the sale of aggregate is presently included in the cash flow projections as there are no long term contracts in place and the Mine is still testing the suitability of the rock on site for specifications acceptable in aggregate markets.

 

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Reserves and resources at the Mine

 

The Mine’s reserves and resources (before the Mine commenced operations) are set out below.

 

   Ton   Gold:
In-Site Grade
   Silver:
In-Site Grade
   Contained Metal 
   (000s)  

 

g/t

  

 

Oz/ton

  

 

g/t

  

 

Oz/ton

   Gold Oz
(000s)
   Silver Oz
(000’s)
 
Proven   3,701    0.948    0.028    14.056    0.410    102.3    1,517.1 
Probable   47,352    0.638    0.019    10.860    0.317    881.3    14,999.1 
Measured & Indicated*   92,082    0.575    0.017    9.53    0.28    1,545.0    25,598.0 
Inferred   23,581    0.343    0.010    7.20    0.21    245.0    4,965.0 
                                    
* Mineral resources are inclusive of mineral reserves.
                                    
Source: 2015 feasibility study reported in Golden Queen’s 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018

 

Golden Queen, in its 2018 10-K filing, reported the above proven and probable reserves (which are before mining commenced) as 1.158 million gold equivalent ounces. In the same filing, Golden Queen reported the remaining proven and probable reserves, as at December 31, 2018, as 941,193 gold equivalent ounces. Further, based on discussions with Management and considering the production in the period of January 1, 2019 to March 31, 2019 the remaining proven and probable reserves, as at the Valuation Date are estimated to be approximately 918,701 gold equivalent ounces.

 

Golden Queen’s share price history

 

Golden Queen’s share price peaked at around C$2.00 in April 2016, soon after the first gold pour, but trended down to C$0.20 by the time the final prospectus was filed for the rights offering in November 2017 (the offering closed in February 2018). Between November 2018 and before the Proposed Transaction was announced, the common shares traded between C$0.10 and C$0.15.

 

On the day prior to January 8, 2019 when the non-binding proposal from the Clay Group was announced, Golden Queen’s common shares closed at C$0.135. Between February 5, 2019 when Golden Queen announced that it had entered into a non-binding letter of intent and February 8, 2019, when it announced that it had entered into the Transaction Agreement, Golden Queen common shares traded at between C$0.04 and C$0.05.

 

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With the significant shareholding held by the Clay Group since February 2018, Golden Queen’s public share float is small and has been approximately 40% since February 2018, albeit the shares traded on nearly all trading days during 2014 to 2018 (as seen below).

 

   Low (C$)   High (C$)   Close (C$)   Volume   Days Traded 
Year – 2014   0.800    1.990    1.442    9,560,880    96%
Year – 2015   0.650    1.680    1.016    12,060,330    93%
Year – 2016   0.700    2.000    1.331    19,483,940    96%
Year – 2017   0.180    1.090    0.647    30,244,430    96%
Year – 2018   0.100    0.235    0.177    28,696,970    93%
Month – Jan 2019   0.045    0.135    0.062    6,518,280    80%
Month – Feb 2019   0.025    0.060    0.036    10,951,120    68%
Month – Mar 2019   0.035    0.055    0.042    4,638,590    61%
                          
Source: S&P Capital IQ and EY Analysis 

  

Historical operating results

 

A summary of Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.’s consolidated operating results for the years ended December 31, 2015 through to 2018 as well as GQM LLC’s standalone operating results for 2018 is set out below.

 

   Golden Queen (Consolidated)   GQM LLC 
US $000s (except ounces)  2015   2016   2017   2018   2018 
Gold production (ounces)   -    18,837    46,039    42,252    42,252 
Silver production (ounces)   -    193,202    237,089    372,724    372,724 
Revenue   -    27,193    62,121    58,403    58,403 
Direct mining costs   -    (21,569)   (56,131)   (44,491)   (44,491)
Depreciation and depletion   -    (7,427)   (11,955)   (9,678)   (9,254)
                          
Accretion   -    (90)   (126)   (167)   (167)
Income (loss) from mine operations   -    (1,893)   (6,091)   4,067    4,491 
G&A expenses   (4,616)   (4,308)   (5,235)   (5,095)   (3,363)
Operating loss   (4,616)   (6,201)   (11,326)   (1,028)   1,128 
Finance expense   (4,507)   (5,488)   (5,217)   (5,925)   (803)
Other income (expenses)   1,887    1,997    5,643    465    36 
Income tax benefit (expense)   -    -    4,725    (391)   0 
Income/(loss)   (7,236)   (9,692)   (6,175)   (6,879)   361 
Less: (Income)/loss attributable to NCI   1,775    2,263    5,010    (180)   (180)
Net income/(loss) attributable to Golden Queen   (5,461)   (7,429)   (1,165)   (7,059)   180 

 

Source: Golden Queen’s audited consolidated financial statements and Management provided financial information

 

Commercial production at the Mine was announced on December 19, 2016, and 2017 was the first full year of production at the Mine. Golden Queen recorded an attributable net and comprehensive loss of $7.059 million during the year ended December 31, 2018 as compared to an attributable net and comprehensive loss of $1.165 million during the year ended December 31, 2017.

 

  Page 11

 

 

 

2018 was the first year in which the Mine generated positive operating income. This was driven by improvements in mining efficiencies throughout the year and higher grade ore being delivered to pad each month. However, the Mine continues to face mechanical maintenance issues, impacting mine operations and profitability. These issues caused the Mine’s ore loaded to pad to be 20% under budget in Q4 2018. Improvements to the crushing process have been implemented to improve efficiency.

 

Additionally, as noted in the table below, the Mine’s crusher mechanical availability and apparent cumulative recoveries have varied over the last two years of production. Asset efficiency reached a high of 73.8% in Q2 2017, but has decreased since then. Apparent cumulative gold recoveries increased over 2017, but peaked in 2017 Q4 and decreased over 2018.

 

   2017   2018 
   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4   Q1   Q2   Q3   Q4 
Asset efficiency   55.7%   73.8%   63.2%   60.9%   58.9%   65.7%   60.7%   58.7%
                                         
Apparent cumulative recovery – gold3   63.3%   68.0%   73.0%   75.5%   71.5%   69.1%   67.1%   67.2%
                                         
Apparent cumulative recovery – silver   25.3%   25.3%   25.8%   27.4%   27.1%   27.7%   28.5%   27.1%

 

 

3Apparent cumulative gold recovery is defined as total gold ounces recovered divided by the total gold ounces on the pad.

 

  Page 12

 

 

 

The table below sets out a summary of Golden Queen’s consolidated financial position as at December 31, 2015 through to 2018, including 100% of GQM LLC’s assets and liabilities, as well as GQM LLC’s standalone financial position as at December 31, 2018.

 

   Golden Queen (Consolidated)   GQM LLC 
US $000s  2015   2016   2017   2018   2018 
Cash and restricted cash   37,587    13,301    2,937    6,730    4,149 
Receivables   24    34    -    -    5 
Inventory   1,936    10,941    9,028    31,944    31,944 
Prepaid expenses   432    577    699    467    411 
    39,979    24,853    12,664    39,141    36,509 
PPE   128,259    134,550    141,848    135,818    131,014 
Other assets   1,206    303    304    3,811    3,811 
Total assets   169,444    159,706    154,816    178,770    171,334 
                          
AP and accruals   3,258    4,265    6,320    6,899    6,773 
Interest payable   970    296    664    773    121 
Current portion of debt   40,996    5,656    18,341    31,268    - 
Derivative liabilities   2,498    6,430    441    3,390    3,314 
    47,722    16,647    25,766    42,330    10,208 
Long-term debt   13,430    35,841    32,001    10,622    17,200 
Asset retirement obligation   978    1,366    1,838    2,497    2,497 
Deferred tax liability   12,922    12,922    8,197    8,588    - 
Total liabilities   75,052    66,776    67,802    64,037    29,904 
                          
Redeemable portion of NCI   27,124    26,219    24,214    24,286    - 
Non-controlling interest   40,686    39,327    36,321    46,429      
Shareholders' equity attributable to GQM Ltd.   26,582    27,384    26,479    44,002    141,430 
Total liabilities and equity   169,444    159,706    154,816    178,770    171,334 

 

Source: Golden Queen’s audited consolidated financial statements and Management provided financial information

 

As at December 31, 2018, Golden Queen had approximately $178.8 million in assets, with 76% of this balance consisting of property, plant and equipment and 18% of this balance consisting of inventory. Net working capital (excluding cash and interest payable) was $25.5 million as at December 31, 2018.

 

The Mine’s inventory on hand increased significantly during 2018. This is due to having two months of ore production stockpiled in the pit, in addition to capacity limit impacting the tonnage of ore on the leach pad. Management has designed a solution to decrease the amount of inventory on hand.

 

As December 31, 2018, significant liabilities included $24.7 million of note payable, $5.0 million of credit facility, $12.2 million of loan payable, and $8.6 million of deferred tax liability.

 

  Page 13

 

 

 

Industry overview4

 

Gold is used mainly for jewellery fabrication, and as a safe haven (a hedge against inflation and financial turmoil). Globally, gold industry demand has picked up, driven by the highest central bank buying in decades, increased investment in gold bars and gold coins, as well as steady demand in jewellery, but offset by decreased demand for ETFs. According to GFMS, one of the world’s leading economic consultants in precious metals, the physical demand for gold increased by approximately 4% in 2018.

 

The primary sources for gold supply include mine production in major economies, secondary gold recovery from scrap jewellery and gold-bearing materials, and net gold exports from transitional economies such as former Soviet Union Republics, North Korea, and Cuba. Global gold mine production increased by 0.93% year-over-year in 2018 to 3,260 tonnes as compared to 3,230 tonnes in 2017. China is the largest gold producer with an estimated output of 400 tonnes in 2018, representing 12.3% of global production.

 

Global gold demand is comprised of fabrication demand, official transactions, and net private investment (investment demand). Fabrication demand includes gold used in jewellery, electronics, dentistry and other industrial and decorative applications. Official transactions represent gold reserves purchased and sold by the International Monetary Fund and government central banks. Global jewellery demand in 2018 was 2,200 tonnes, a 0% change from 2017, on account of growth in demand in China and United States, offset by a decrease in Middle Eastern demand due to economic hardships and US sanctions on Iran.

 

United States economic overview5

 

The United States economy grew by 2.9% in 2018, as compared to 2.2% growth in 2017, equaling the highest growth rate achieved in the last ten years. Consumer prices increased by 1.5% year-on-year in February 2019 as compared to a 1.6% rise in January 2019 on the back of decreases in gasoline and clothing costs and stagnation in electricity prices. According to Oxford Economics, consumer price increases are expected to remain below the Federal Reserve’s 2% target over the year. The Federal Reserve in its March 2019 meeting kept the federal funds rate at 2.25%-2.50%. The rate is expected to remain at the current level at least until the end of the year.

 

The current account deficit remained at -2.3% of GDP in 2018. It is forecasted to be -2.7% in 2019 and -2.8% in 2020. Exports of goods and services are forecasted to grow by 2.1% in 2019 as compared to a 3.9% rise in 2018. Imports of goods and services are expected to rise by 3.5% in 2019 as compared to the 4.6% growth in 2018.

 

The United States GDP is forecasted to grow by 2.3% and 1.8% in 2019 and 2020, as compared to 2.9% growth in 2018, on account of reduced monetary policy support, trade uncertainty and weakened global economic conditions.

 

Global economic overview6

 

The global economy witnessed sluggish growth in 2018 on account of trade tension and decline in growth in emerging markets and developing economies.

 

The Eurozone real GDP grew by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter in Q4 2018, as compared to 0.1% growth in Q3 2018, on the back of improvement in fixed investments, net exports and a small increase in household spending.

 

Sub-Saharan Africa witnessed steady growth of 2.7% in 2018 on account of moderate trade growth, tight financial conditions and weak metals and agricultural commodity prices. The region is forecasted to witness growth of 3.4%, 3.6% and 3.7% in 2019, 2020 and 2021, respectively, on the back of robust growth in non-resource intensive countries.

 

In South Asia, real GDP increased to 6.9% in 2018 from 6.2% in 2017, underscored by increased domestic demand in India. The region is expected to grow by 7.1% until 2021 due to robust domestic demand. In the Middle-East and North Africa, real GDP is forecasted to grow by 1.9% in 2019 and 2.7% in 2020 and 2021, as compared to 1.7% growth in 2018 on the back of growth in Saudi Arabia and Egypt offset by contraction in Iran due to oil sanctions. The region is expected to witness stronger growth in 2020 and 2021 on the back of favourable monetary and diversification policies.

 

 

4Source: World Gold Council, Gold Demand Trends, Q4 2018; US Geological Survey, Mineral Commodity Summaries, February 2019
5Source: Oxford Economics and Trading Economics
6Source: Global Economic prospects, World Bank Group, January 2019; United States- Oxford Economics, March 2019; Eurozone - Oxford Economics, March 2019

 

  Page 14

 

 

 

According to the World Bank, global real GDP is expected to increase by 2.9% in 2019, 2.8% and 2.8% in 2020 and 2021. US real GDP growth is expected to decrease from 2.9% in 2018 to 2.5% in 2019, 1.7% in 2020 and 1.6% in 2021. Eurozone real GDP is forecasted to grow by 1.6% in 2019, 1.5% in 2020 and 1.3% in 2021 from 1.9% in 2018.

 

Latin America is forecasted to witness economic growth of 1.7%, 2.4% and 2.5% in 2019, 2020, and 2021 respectively due to strengthening output from Brazil and Mexico.

 

Europe and Central Asia is forecasted to witness slow growth of 2.3%, 2.7% and 2.9% in 2019, 2020 and 2021 respectively on account of less supportive external conditions and slowdown in Turkey and Central European economies.

 

  Page 15

 

 

 

Valuation methodologies

 

Mineral properties can be classified into exploration, development, or producing assets. Depending on the availability of engineering and financial information one or more of the income, market and cost approaches may be favoured (these are described below). Typically, an income approach is most suitable where a life of mine plan and financial model are available and this would generally be the case with a development or producing asset. While market approaches can be applied to exploration and development assets it is important to recognize that there are no “true” comparables and application of market approaches can be subjective as every mineral property is unique. Application of a market approach to a producing property would also be impacted by lack of “true” comparables. Nonetheless a combination of approaches may be considered for an informed view of value.

 

Income approach

 

The income approach focuses on the income-producing capability of an asset. The underlying premise of this approach is that the value of an asset can be measured by the present worth of the net economic benefit (cash receipts less cash outlays) to be received over the life of the subject asset. The steps followed in applying this approach include estimating the expected after-tax cash flows attributable to the asset over its life and converting these after-tax cash flows to present value through “discounting”. The discounting process uses a rate of return that accounts for both the time value of money and investment risk factors. Finally, the present value of the after-tax cash flows over the life of the asset is summed to arrive at an indication of the value of the asset.

 

Market approach

 

The market approach is comprised of the “trading multiples” and “transaction multiples” methods.

 

The trading multiples method focuses on “guideline” publicly traded companies to derive value indications of comparable assets owned by such guideline companies.

 

When the transaction multiples method is utilized, data is collected on the prices paid for reasonably comparable assets. Adjustments are made to the purchase consideration to compensate for differences between reasonably similar assets and the asset being valued.

 

Cost approach

 

The cost approach relies on the principal of substitution. It recognizes that a prudent investor would pay no more for an asset than the cost to replace it with an identical or similar unit of equivalent utility.

 

Where an entity does not carry on business operations, individual assets and liabilities are valued on a standalone basis and value of equity is calculated as the sum of the parts. This method is often described as an “adjusted net assets” method and is often employed in the valuation of holding companies or for consideration of non-operating and financial assets and liabilities of operating companies.

 

  Page 16

 

 

 

Selected approaches

 

In estimating the value of Golden Queen’s common shares:

 

1.we have employed income and market approaches to estimate a range of fair market value for the Mine; more particularly, we employed a discounted cash flow and trading and transaction multiples (in-situ gold equivalent ounce (“GoldEq.Oz”) multiples) methods; and

 

2.we utilized an adjusted net assets method to value the net financial liabilities of GQM LLC, and the net non-operating and net financial liabilities of GQM US and Golden Queen.

 

Income approach: discounted cash flow analysis

 

In applying an income approach EY undertook a discounted cash flow (“DCF”) analysis. The DCF analysis discussed herein relies on a life on mine (“LOM”) plan prepared by GQM LLC and reviewed by Management.

 

LOM overview

 

Key expectations as of December 31, 2018 in respect of the Mine within the LOM, in real US dollars, are as follows:

 

Life of mine 13 years
Ore mined 47.8m tons7
Gold production 813k oz
Silver production 6.1m oz
Avg. cash costs US$875/GoldEq.Oz
Avg. AISC incl. capex US$930/GoldEq.Oz
Total capex US$49.6m
Total closure cost US$33m

 

Source: LOM provided by Management

 

Discount rate

 

In order to undertake the DCF analysis, EY calculated the discount rate by determining the required rate of return as a weighted average cost of capital (“WACC”). WACC is used to discount pre-interest (but post-tax) cash flows to derive value at an enterprise (or pre-debt) level.

 

WACC is calculated by multiplying the cost of equity by the percentage of equity in the capital structure and then adding the after-tax cost of debt multiplied by the percentage of debt in the capital structure. The cost of equity herein has been estimated using the capital asset pricing model.

 

The financial projections were denominated in “real” (as opposed to “nominal”) US dollars. As such, the discount rate herein has been adjusted for forecast inflation to convert the “nominal” discount rate into a “real” discount rate.

 

 

7A portion of these tons, i.e. approximately 8 million tons, are over and above the Mine’s current leach pad capacity.

 

  Page 17

 

 

 

The assumptions used by EY in estimating the discount rate for the Mine at 11.5% are provided below:

 

   Low   High 
Risk-free rate (1)   2.5%   2.5%
Beta (2)   0.85    0.90 
Equity risk premium (3)   6.0%   6.0%
Size premium (4)   5.2%   5.2%
Specific risk premium (5)   1.0%   2.0%
Cost of equity (6)   13.8%   15.1%
Equity % in the capital structure (2)   85.0%   85.0%
           
Pre-tax cost of debt (7)   10.0%   10.5%
Tax (8)   21.0%   21.0%
After-tax cost of debt   7.9%   8.3%
Debt % in the capital structure (2)   15.0%   15.0%
           
Nominal WACC   12.9%   14.1%
Inflation (9)   2.0%   2.0%
Real WACC (rounded)   11.0%   12.0%
Selected WACC           11.5% 

 

1.Average yield to maturity on 10 year and 20 year US Treasury bonds.

 

2.Based on EY’s review of publicly traded operating stage gold mining guideline companies.

 

3.Based on EY’s consideration of historical realized returns over the short-term and the long-term, forward-looking premium estimates, published views and academic studies.

 

4.Based on the Duff & Phelps Guide to Cost of Capital (10th decile) considering the relative size of the Mine.

 

5.Premium to consider cash flow and financing risks inherent in the LOM plan.

 

6.Cost of equity = risk-free rate + beta x equity risk premium + size premium + specific risk premium.

 

7.Estimated cost of debt considers historical cost of financing.

 

8.Applicable US corporate tax rate.

 

9.Based on estimates of long-term US dollar inflation.

 

Source: EY research and analysis.

 

NAV multiple

 

The value computed herein based on the selected WACC of 11.5% is referred to herein as NPVWACC. We draw this distinction as we are mindful that it is common in the gold mining industry to consider a 5% real discount rate in conjunction with a net asset value (“NAV”) multiple; where a NAV multiple of less than 1.0 captures incremental risk relative to the 5% real discount rate and a NAV multiple of greater than 1.0 implicitly ascribes value to upside, if any, arising from metal price optionality, value increment attributable to management flexibility to slow or accelerate mining operations in response to metal prices, and the likelihood of mining for longer periods or higher volumes than determinable from known reserves and resources as a result of further exploration and discovery of new mineable material. The value computed herein based on a 5% discount rate and an application of a NAV multiple is referred to herein as NPV5% x NAV.

 

  Page 18

 

 

 

In this regard, EY researched available equity analyst reports in respect of guideline companies for price to NAV (P/NAV) multiples8 and selected a NAV multiple of 0.65x as summarized below:

 

   Number of Analysts  Average P/NAV
multiple
Alio Gold Inc.  5  0.39x
Atlantic Gold Corporation  5  1.08x
TMAC Resources Inc.  5  0.78x
Anaconda Mining Inc.  2  0.30x
Harte Gold Corp.  2  0.79x
Bonterra Resources Inc.  1  0.40x
Fiore Gold Inc.  1  0.31x
Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd.  1  0.30x
       
Average     0.54x
Median     0.40x
Average (3+ analysts)     0.75x
EY selected     0.65x

 

Source: EY research and analysis

 

DCF analysis

 

EY developed a DCF analysis based on the financial forecast in the LOM plan provided by Management9. EY discussed the LOM plan with Management and reflected the following in the DCF analysis:

 

·Revenues were calculated at metal prices of US$1,300 per oz. for gold and US$16 per oz. for silver based on industry analyst consensus prices around the Valuation Date;

 

·Closure costs of US$33 million (as provided by Management) after the last year of mine life i.e. 2032;

 

·Income taxes based on Management’s tax calculations (“Tax Model”). Based on discussions with Management we understand that the Tax Model considered all tax attributes available to GQM US (including tax losses of US$49 million) and hence reflects future cash taxes which would be attributable to Golden Queen’s share of taxable income of the Mine;

 

·Non-cash working capital change based on an estimated working capital requirement as a percentage of revenue of 20.5% having regard to the historical balance sheet of GQM LLC and discussions with Management; and

 

·A present value calculation as of the Valuation Date, which pro-rates the full year 2019 forecast based on time.

 

 

8As these are Price to NAV multiples they would be applicable at an equity level, as opposed to an enterprise level.
9Corporate costs in respect of Golden Queen are not reflected in the LOM plan and hence the DCF analysis. We consider them separately in determining the value of Golden Queen’s common shares.

 

  Page 19

 

 

 

A summary of the financial forecasts of the Mine (100% basis) and the resulting after-tax unlevered (pre-debt) cash flow, for calendar years, is presented below:

 

All amounts in US$000s  2019   2020   2021   2022   2023  

2024

to 2032

 
Revenue   97,744    99,185    77,621    121,118    120,669    640,148 
Costs   (79,990)   (84,418)   (86,893)   (94,937)   (84,588)   (450,331)
Closure costs   -    -    -    -    -    (33,000)
EBITDA   17,753    14,768    (9,272)   26,181    36,082    156,817 
Capital expenditures   (11,391)   (23,340)   (1,790)   (7,175)   (175)   (5,760)
Working capital change   6,034    (296)   4,423    (8,922)   92    24,752 
Taxes   (14)   (14)   (14)   (14)   (14)   (2,910)
After-tax Unlevered Discretionary Cash Flow   12,382    (8,882)   (6,653)   10,069    35,984    172,899 
Cumulative after-tax Unlevered Discretionary Cash Flow   12,382    3,500    (3,151)   6,916    42,900    215,799 

 

Source: Management provided LOM plan and EY Analysis

 

As seen above, the negative unlevered cash flows in 2020 and 2021 (including negative EBITDA in 2021), reflect the Mine’s need for additional financing to cover near-term capital expenditures and operating costs. The Mine will not reach cumulative positive unlevered cash flows until 2022, requiring positive cash flows from 2019 to cover future cash shortfalls. It should also be noted that the above summary is on a pre-debt basis; as such, cash flows required by GQM LLC to fund interest and debt repayments are not included. GQM LLC has a $20 million revolving credit loan facility with a maturity date of March 31, 2020, of which $10 million of principal has been drawn as at the Valuation Date. This debt due must be considered when looking at the Mine’s future cash flows and cash position. In addition, Golden Queen’s debt with the Clay Group is coming due in May 2019, representing an additional significant cash requirement not represented above in the DCF analysis.

 

Mine value based on WACC - NPVWACC

 

Based on the above financial forecasts the net present value (100% basis), before deducting net debt, is US$97.8 million at US$1,300/oz gold price and 11.5% discount rate. Reducing the gold price by US$25 and discount rate by 1%, or increasing the gold price by US$25 and discount rate by 1% results in a change in value by approximately US$6 million as illustrated below:

 

All amounts in US$000s  Gold price 
       1,275    1,300    1,325 
    12.50%   81,107    92,009    102,911 
Discount   11.50%   86,425    97,783    109,142 
rate   10.50%   92,180    104,026    115,873 

 

Based on the above, EY adopted the NPVWACC value of the Mine (100% basis), before debt, to be between US$92.2 million to US$102.9 million10.

 

Mine value based on 5% discount rate and NAV multiple - NPV5% x NAV

 

Based on the above financial forecasts and adopting a 5% real discount rate along with a 0.65x NAV multiple (as discussed above) results in a value (100% basis), before deducting net debt, of US$96.9 million at US$1,300/oz gold price. Varying the gold price by US$25 results in a change in value of approximately US$10 million as illustrated below:

 

 

10These amounts are before considering Golden Queen’s annual corporate costs.

 

  Page 20

 

 

  

All amounts in US$000s  Gold price 
    1,275    1,300    1,325 
5% and 0.65x NAV   86,934    96,852    106,769 

 

Based on the above, EY adopted the NPV5% x NAV value of the Mine (100% basis), before debt, to be between US$86.9 million to US$106.8 million11.

 

Market approach: Trading multiples

 

EY identified publicly-traded companies whose principal assets were comparable operating gold mines in North America which had both gold and silver resources and were heap leach operations.

 

EY calculated multiples by considering:

 

1.The total enterprise value (“TEV”) of each guideline company calculated as market capitalization adjusted for control premium, plus debt, less cash and cash equivalents, further adjusted for any non-controlling interests in the assets or entities owned by the guideline companies. We applied a control premium of 40% to the market capitalization (which would be based on minority traded positions in the stock market) to reflect en bloc equity value.

 

2.Gold equivalent economic ounce (“GoldEq. Economic Oz.”) multiple of each guideline company by applying economic adjustment factors to reported reserves and resources (“R&R”). Our economic adjustment factors reflect the decreasing level of confidence level acknowledged by market participants depending on the reported reserve or resource category starting with the highest confidence in proven and probable reserves to least confidence in inferred resources. We considered and applied economic adjustment factors of 100% to proven and probable reserves, 60% to measured and indicated resources and 30% to inferred resources.

 

 

11These amounts are before considering Golden Queen’s annual corporate costs.

 

  Page 21

 

 

 

The list of guideline companies and calculated TEV/ GoldEq. Economic Oz. multiples are shown in the table below. Multiples marked with an asterisk (*) are considered outliers and are excluded from our average and median observations.

 

   Exchange &
Ticker
  TEV (US
$000s)
   Economic
GoldEq. R&R
(kOz)
   TEV/GoldEq.
Economic Oz
(US$)
 
                
TMAC Resources Inc.  TSXV:NEE   593,983    4,806.9    123.57 
Atlantic Gold Corporation  TSX:TMR   563,799    1,569.1    359.32*
Harte Gold Corp.  TSXV:AGB   273,712    832.2    328.90*
Bonterra Resources Inc.  TSX:HRT   123,102    827.7    148.73 
Monarch Gold Corporation  TSXV:BTR   78,586    2,853.3    27.54 
Alio Gold Inc.  TSX:ALO   69,399    4,408.5    15.74 
Northern Vertex Mining Corp.  TSXV:NEE   60,878    349.0    174.41*
Pershing Gold Corporation  TSX:MQR   56,540    761.4    74.26 
Anaconda Mining Inc.  TSX:ANX   34,130    788.1    43.31 
Fiore Gold Ltd.  TSXV:F   27,477    1,862.5    14,75 
West Kirkland Mining Inc.  TSXV:WKM   22,046    793.5    27.78 
Abcourt Mines Inc.  TSXV:ABI   15,029    1,131.6    13.28 
Scorpio Gold Corporation  TSXV:SGN   10,503    344.6    30.48 
                   
           Average    51.94 
           Median    29.13 

 

Source: S&P Capital IQ, S&P Global Market Intelligence and EY analysis

 

The overall average multiple was US$51.94 per GoldEq. Economic Oz. and the median multiple was US$29.13 per GoldEq. Economic Oz. Based on a review of these multiples, EY selected a multiple range of US$40 to US$60 per GoldEq. Economic Oz., with a mid-point of US$50 per GoldEq. Economic Oz.

 

EY estimated that the Mine had approximately 1,414,439 GoldEq. Economic Ozs. as at Valuation Date12.

 

 

12These ounces are based on Management’s estimate of gold equivalent ounces aggregating 918,701 in the proven and probable category as at the Valuation Date, plus EY’s estimate of gold equivalent ounces in the measured and indicated and inferred categories adjusted by 60% and 30% economic factor adjustments, respectively. EY’s gold equivalent ounce calculation differs from Management’s as EY considers forward looking prices of $1,300 for gold $16 for silver (netting to a ratio of approximately 81); whereas Management’s ratio approximates 88 (as Management considers gold / silver price ratio of 55 plus a gold silver recovery ratio of 1.6).

 

  Page 22

 

 

 

Based on the selected trading multiples, expressed on a GoldEq. Economic Oz. basis, ranging from US$40 to US$60 per GoldEq. Economic Oz., we calculated the value of the Mine (100% basis), before deducting net debt, as illustrated below:

 

   Low   Mid   High 
GoldEq. Economic Oz at the Mine   1,414,439    1,414,439    1,414,439 
Selected multiple in US$s   40    50    60 
Selected Mine Value (rounded) in US$000s   57,000    71,000    85,000 

 

Based on the above, EY adopted the trading multiples based value of the Mine (100% basis), before debt, to be between US$57 million to US$85 million.

 

Market approach: Transaction multiples

 

EY identified precedent transactions representing the purchase and sale of companies or mining assets considered comparable to the Mine. We primarily considered completed transactions in respect of assets in the United States or Canada in respect of operating mines whose primary commodity was gold.

 

When analyzing these transactions, EY considered the deal value per GoldEq. Economic Oz., calculated as the deal value (at an enterprise level or asset level, i.e. pre-cash and debt) divided by the reported reserves and resources of the underlying assets, converted to gold equivalent economic ounces. Each transaction multiple was adjusted for the change in gold asset values between the transaction completion date and the Valuation Date, by adjusting the GoldEq. Economic Oz. multiple from the transaction by the percentage change in the HUI Index13. EY applied a selected range of multiples from these adjusted multiples, to the Mine’s gold equivalent economic ounces in order to calculate the value of the Mine.

 

 

13The NYSE ARCA Gold BUGS Index (HUI) is a modified equal dollar weighted index of companies involved in gold mining. The HUI Index was designed to provide significant exposure to near term movements in gold prices by including companies that do not hedge their gold production beyond 1.5 years.

 

  Page 23

 

 

 

EY identified 12 precedent guideline transactions. The list of precedent transactions and calculated multiples is included below.

 

Buyer  Target  Completion
Date
  Deal
Value
(US$ m)
   Economic
GoldEq. R&R
(oz)14
   HUI
Adjusted
GoldEq.
Economic
Oz.
 
Huakan International Mining  Greenwood Gold project  26-Mar-14   2.7    80,443    25.28 
Silver Standard Resources  Marigold mine  04-Apr-14   275.0    4,548,600    44.42 
Waterton Global Value  Nixon Fork gold mine  07-Jul-14   0.2    93,726    1.77*
Avino Silver & Gold Mines  Bralorne Gold Mines Ltd.  09-Jul-14   2.5    16,016    105.27 
Integra Gold Corporation  Sigma-Lamaque  08-Oct-14   7.2    1,087,300    5.49*
Avino Silver & Gold Mines  Bralorne Gold Mines Ltd.  20-Oct-14   3.8    20,950    157.84*
Premier Gold Mines  South Arturo project  02-Jun-15   41.0    722,337    56.15 
Klondex Mines  Rice Lake mine  21-Jan-16   32.0    892,550    56.37 
McEwen Mining  Black Fox mine and complex  03-Oct-17   32.5    846,300    32.05 
Hecla Mining Company  Klondex Mines Ltd.  20-Jul-18   446.4    2,724,743    158.44*
Northern Star Resources  Pogo gold mine  28-Sep-18   260.3    2,497,000    122.93 
Equinox Gold  Mesquite mine  26-Oct-18   158.0    1,869,700    97.18 
                      
               Average    67.46 
               Median    56.26 

 

Source: S&P Global Market Intelligence and EY research and analysis

 

Multiples marked with an asterisk (*) are considered outliers and are excluded from our average and median observations.

 

The overall average multiple was US$67.46 per GoldEq. Economic Oz. and the median multiple was US$56.26 per GoldEq. Economic Oz. Based on a review of these multiples, EY selected a multiple range of US$55 to US$65 per GoldEq. Economic Oz., with a mid-point of US$60 per GoldEq. Economic Oz.

 

Based on the selected transaction multiples, expressed on a GoldEq. Economic Oz. basis, ranging from US$55 to US$65 per GoldEq. Economic Oz., we calculated the value of the Mine (100% basis), before deducting net debt, as illustrated below:

 

   Low   Mid   High 
GoldEq. Economic Ozs at the Mine   1,414,439    1,414,439    1,414,439 
Selected multiple in US$s   55    60    65 
Selected Mine Value (rounded) in US$000s   78,000    85,000    92,000 

 

Based on the above, EY adopted the transaction multiples based value of the Mine (100% basis), before debt, to be between US$78 million to US$92 million.

 

 

14Wherever a split between Measured & Indicated and Inferred resources was not available, an economic factor of 45% (i.e. average of 60% and 30%) was applied to total resources.

 

  Page 24

 

 

 

Summarized value of the Mine

 

Below we present a summarized view of the various approaches considered above in respect of the value of the Mine:

 

In US$ millions  Mine value before Golden
Queen’s corporate costs
(100% basis)
   Golden Queen’s
corporate costs (50%
basis)
  Mine value after Golden
Queen’s corporate costs (50%
basis)
 
   Low   High     Low   High 
NPVWACC   92.2    102.9   8.715  37.4    42.8 
NPV5% x NAV   86.9    106.8   8.116  35.4    45.3 
Trading multiples   57.0    85.0   not applicable   28.5    42.5 
Transaction multiples   78.0    92.0   not applicable   39.0    46.0 
                        
Average                35.1    44.1 
                        
Source: Management information and EY Analysis 

 

In our view, the income approaches and market approaches, viewed together, provide consistent outcome of value of Golden Queen’s 50% interest in the Mine.

 

Adjusted net asset approach

 

We next present the adjusted net assets analysis in respect of the net debt of GQM LLC and Golden Queen as they would impact the value of Golden Queen; and hence the resulting en bloc value of Golden Queen’s common shares:

 

In US$ millions  Mine value after Golden
Queen’s corporate costs
(50% basis)
  

 

Net debt17,18

  

Value of Golden Queen
common shares (en
bloc)

 
   Low   High   GQM LLC (at
50%)
   Golden
Queen
   Low   High 
NPVWACC   37.4    42.8    6.6    24.7    6.1    11.5 
NPV5% x NAV   35.4    45.3    4.319    24.7    6.4    16.3 
Trading multiples   28.5    42.5    6.6    24.7    (2.8)   11.2 
Transaction multiples   39.0    46.0    6.6    24.7    7.7    14.7 
                               
Source: Management information and EY Analysis       

 

Value range in respect of Golden Queen common shares

 

The table below presents the range of values of Golden Queen’s common shares having regard to a C$ to US$ exchange rate of 1.3447 on the Valuation Date and Golden Queen’s 300,101,441 issued and outstanding common shares.

 

   Value of Golden Queen
common shares, en bloc
(US$ millions)
   Value of a Golden Queen common
share (Canadian cents)
 
   Low   High   Low   High 
NPVWACC   6.1    11.5    2.7    5.1 
NPV5% x NAV   6.4    16.3    2.9    7.3 
Trading multiples   (2.8)   11.2    0.0    5.0 
Transaction multiples   7.7    14.7    3.5    6.6 
                     
Average             2.3    6.0 
Median             2.8    5.9 
Selected (Median, rounded)             3.0    6.0 
                     
Source: EY Analysis 

 

 

15Present value of Golden Queen’s monthly corporate costs of US$110,000 over 13 years at an 11.5% discount rate.
16Present value of Golden Queen’s monthly corporate costs of US$110,000 over 13 years at a 5% discount rate and 0.65 NAV multiple.
17GQM LLC’s net debt (100% basis) is comprised of cash of $4.1 million and debt of $17.3 million as at December 31, 2018. As noted earlier, we have assumed that there are no material changes in the financial position or operating results for GQM LLC from December 31, 2018 to the Valuation Date.
18Golden Queen’s net debt at the Valuation Date is comprised of cash of $2.2 million, working capital of $60 thousand and debt of $27 million. The cash adjustment includes $1.005 million of restricted cash representing collateral relating to Golden Queen’s reclamation deposit surety bonds.
19Net debt adjusted by NAV multiple of 0.65x.

 

  Page 25

 

 

 

 Conclusion of value of Golden Queen common shares

 

Based on the information reviewed, observations, assumptions, limitations, analyses and other relevant factors, it is EY’s opinion that the per share value of the Golden Queen common shares is between C$0.03 and C$0.06 before the Proposed Transaction is effected, and assuming Golden Queen can continue as a going concern and can meet its debt obligations as they come due, and/or can refinance the Clay Group loan which matures on May 21, 2019.

 

Conclusion of value of the Proposed Transaction

 

If the Proposed Transaction is undertaken then the value of the Golden Queen common shares would be C$0.05 per share (US$4.25 million cash consideration, converted at an exchange rate of 1.3447 and divided amongst 122,400,212 shares20), before considering any costs of the Proposed Transaction and any other assets (such as cash) remaining in Golden Queen.

 

EY’s opinion and its rationale

 

Based on the information reviewed, observations, assumptions, limitations, analyses and other relevant factors, it is EY’s opinion that, the Proposed Transaction is fair from a financial point of view to the existing shareholders of the common shares of Golden Queen, other than the Clay Group.

 

In reaching our fairness opinion we considered the following:

 

·Golden Queen’s debt with the Clay Group matures on May 21, 2019. As at February 1, 2019 the balance owed was US$26.496 million. Payments due on February 1, 2019 through to May 21, 2019 aggregate US$27.6 million (inclusive of interest accruing through to May 21). The Clay Group has informed Golden Queen that it will no longer extend the loan or provide further financing.

 

·Golden Queen’s revolving credit loan facility with Gauss LLC and Auvergne LLC matures on March 31, 2020, and the current balance drawn is $10 million as at the Valuation Date, representing a significant additional cash outflow over the near term.

 

·GQM LLC will mine low grade ore in 2021 and along with some significant capital expenditure requirements in 2020 and 2021 (partially financed by equipment loans) the funding requirements in 2020 at a 100% ownership level are expected to be approximately US$8.9 million and US$6.7 million in 2021. The Mine is expected to generate positive cash flow of US$12.3 million in 2019.

 

·The last equity financing undertaken by Golden Queen, announced on November 14, 2017 (closed February 22, 2018), was a rights offering backstopped by the Clay Group. The rights offering was undertaken at US$0.1325. On November 14, 2017, the 20 day VWAP (volume weighted average price) of Golden Queen’s shares was approximately US$0.24 (implying a rights offering discount of 44%), and on November 28, 2017 it was US$0.187 (implying a rights offering discount of 29%). Despite the significant discount, some 65% of the then minority shareholders did not exercise their subscription rights, leading to the Clay Group, who backstopped the US$25 million rights offering, increasing their ownership from 30.5% to 58.94%. In that round, 75% of the US$25 million was raised from the Clay Group. The dominant shareholding of the Clay Group would be seen as a deterrent to any meaningful equity investor interest as at the Valuation Date and hence severely limits Golden Queen’s ability to raise equity financing.

 

·Based on our discussions with Maxit Capital LP, who are advisors to Golden Queen, there was no alternative transaction (divestiture or financing) identified during the Go Shop Period. More particularly, the ability to raise debt financing is very limited as the Mine will not generate net positive cash flow, in aggregate, until 2022. Golden Queen has been working with Maxit since 2015 to explore financing or M&A opportunities, but the company has had difficulty attracting sufficient capital to cover its cash needs and has relied upon the Clay Group historically.

 

 

20Total outstanding shares 300,101,441 less Clay Group shares of 177,701,229.

 

  Page 26

 

 

 

·The per share value of the Golden Queen common shares is estimated herein to be between C$0.03 and C$0.06 before the Proposed Transaction is effected, and assuming Golden Queen can continue as a going concern and can meet its debt obligations as they come due, and/or can refinance the Clay Group loan which matures on May 21, 2019. Absent a restructuring or refinancing of the loan, the value per Common Share could quickly approach C$nil per share.

 

Sincerely,

 

/s/ Ernst & Young LLP  

 

Ernst & Young LLP

 

  Page 27

 

 

 

Schedule of Limiting Conditions

 

1.Ernst & Young LLP ("EY") has prepared this Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation solely for the purpose stated, and it should not be used for any other purpose. This report is confidential and may be privileged. In carrying out our work, we have worked solely on the instructions of our client and this Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation has been prepared solely for the use of the Special Committee of the Board of Directors of Golden Queen. Our Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation may not have considered issues relevant to third parties and EY shall have no responsibility whatsoever to any third party which obtains a copy of this Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation. Any use such a third party may choose to make of this Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation is entirely at its own risk.

 

2.EY, by reason of its services hereunder, is not required to furnish additional work or services, or to give testimony, or be in attendance in court with reference to the subject assets, properties, or business interest or to update any report, recommendation, analysis, conclusion or other document relating to its services for any events or circumstances except as stipulated in the engagement letter under which this report was prepared.

 

3.Provision of valuation conclusions and/or recommendations and considerations of the issues described herein are areas of valuation practice for which we believe that we have knowledge and experience. The services provided are limited to such knowledge and experience and do not represent audit, advisory or tax-related services that may otherwise be provided by EY or another Ernst & Young member firm.

 

4.No investigation of the title to the subject company and subject assets has been made, and the ownership claims to the subject company and subject assets are assumed to be valid. To the extent that EY’s services include assets, properties or business interests, EY shall assume no responsibility for matters of legal description or title, and EY shall be entitled to make the following assumptions: (i) title is good and marketable, (ii) there exist no liens or encumbrances, (iii) there is full compliance with all applicable government regulations and laws (including, without limitation, zoning regulations), and (iv) all required licenses, certificates of occupancy, consents, or legislative or administrative authority from any government, private entity or organization have been or can be obtained or renewed for any use on which EY services are to be based.

 

5.The value conclusions and/or recommendations contained herein are not intended to represent the values of the subject assets at any time other than the effective date that is specifically stated in this report. Changes in market conditions could result in recommendations of value substantially different than those presented at the stated effective date. We assume no responsibility for changes in market conditions or for the inability of the owner to locate a purchaser of the subject assets at the values stated herein.

 

6.No responsibility is assumed for information furnished by others (including management), and such information is believed to be reliable.

 

7.In the course of our analysis, we were provided with written information, oral information, and/or data in electronic form, related to the structure, operation, and financial performance of the subject company and subject assets. We have relied upon this information in our analyses and in the preparation of this report and have not independently verified its accuracy or completeness.

 

8.Certain historical financial data used in our engagement were derived from unaudited financial statements and are the responsibility of management. These financial statements may not have included disclosures required by generally accepted accounting principles. We have not independently verified the accuracy or completeness of the data provided and do not express an opinion or offer any form of assurance regarding its accuracy or completeness.

 

9.The estimates of cash flow data underlying the analysis herein is solely for use in the valuation analysis. We have not performed an examination or compilation of the underlying cash flow data in accordance with standards prescribed by the Canadian Institute of Chartered Accountants, and, accordingly, do not express an opinion or offer any form of assurance on the underlying cash flow data. Furthermore, there will usually be differences between estimated and actual results because events and circumstances frequently do not occur as expected, and those differences may be material.

 

  Page 28

 

 

 

10.Our Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation assumes full compliance with all applicable federal, provincial, local, and other zoning, usage, environmental and similar laws and regulations, unless otherwise stated.

 

11.We assume no responsibility for any financial and tax reporting decisions, which are appropriately those of management. It is our understanding that management accepts the responsibility for any financial statement and tax reporting issues with respect to the subject assets.

 

12.We reserve the right (but will not be obligated) to revise this report in light of any relevant information (that we consider material to this Fairness Opinion and Formal Valuation) that comes to our attention after the date of issuance.

 

  Page 29

 

 

EY | Assurance | Tax | Transactions | Advisory

 

About EY

 

EY is a global leader in assurance, tax, transaction and advisory services. The insights and quality services we deliver help build trust and confidence in the capital markets and in economies the world over. We develop outstanding leaders who team to deliver on our promises to all of our stakeholders. In so doing, we play a critical role in building a better working world for our people, for our clients and for our communities.

 

EY refers to the global organization, and may refer to one or more, of the member firms of Ernst & Young Global Limited, each of which is a separate legal entity. Ernst & Young Global Limited, a UK company limited by guarantee, does not provide services to clients.

 

For more information about our organization, please visit ey.com/ca

 

© 2019 Ernst & Young LLP, A member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited. All Rights Reserved.

 

A member firm of Ernst & Young Global Limited

 

   

Exhibit 99.2

 

 

GOLDEN QUEEN MAILS AND FILES ANNUAL GENERAL AND SPECIAL MEETING MATERIALS

IN CONNECTION WITH THE PROPOSED TRANSACTION

 

VANCOUVER, British Columbia – April 11, 2019 – Golden Queen Mining Co. Ltd. (TSX:GQM, OTC: GQMNF) (the ”Company” or “Golden Queen”) announced today that it has filed and is mailing materials for the annual general and special meeting of Golden Queen shareholders to be held in connection with the proposed transaction previously announced February 8, 2019. Materials for the shareholder meeting, including management’s proxy circular, have now been filed at www.sedar.com and at www.sec.gov and are available on the Company’s website at www.goldenqueen.com.

 

Meeting Matters

 

The proxy circular includes a proposal to approve a special resolution for the sale of 100% of the shares of Golden Queen Mining Holdings Inc., which currently holds a 50% ownership interest in the Soledad Mountain Project, pursuant to the terms of an agreement dated February 7, 2019 between the Company and certain purchasers as described in the proxy circular (the “Transaction”). The proxy circular also includes as agenda items a proposal to consolidate the outstanding common shares on a 10 existing shares for 1 new share basis, the election of directors, the reappointment of PricewaterhouseCoopers LLP as auditors, and an advisory vote on executive compensation.

 

Benefits of the Transaction to Golden Queen Shareholders

 

·Resolves going concern issue and the possibility of entering into bankruptcy and insolvency proceedings by eliminating all outstanding debt payable by the Company, including a scheduled debt repayment on February 8, 2019, and additional payments due in April 2019 and May 2019

·Provides certainty of value and value that is more favorable than the value that might have been received by pursuing other business opportunities

·Eliminates majority ownership position, materially increasing retained ownership by remaining Golden Queen shareholders

·Provides a meaningful cash treasury to assess various options to provide or return value to Golden Queen shareholders

  

 

The Golden Queen Board of Directors UNANIMOUSLY recommends that Shareholders

vote IN FAVOUR of all the proposed resolutions

 

Your vote is important regardless of the number of shares you own. As a shareholder, it is very important that you read the proxy circular and related materials with respect to the shareholder meeting carefully and then vote your Golden Queen shares. You are eligible to vote your Golden Queen shares if you were a shareholder of record at the close of business on April 3, 2019. You may vote in person at the shareholder meeting or by proxy.

 

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Golden Queen Shareholder Meeting

 

The shareholder meeting will be held on Monday May 13, 2019 at 10:00am PT, at Suite 2300 - 1066 West Hasting Street, Vancouver, British Columbia, where Golden Queen shareholders will be asked to consider and vote on all the proposed resolutions.

 

YOUR VOTE IS IMPORTANT - PLEASE VOTE TODAY

 

Shareholder Questions and Assistance

 

If you have any questions or require assistance voting your Golden Queen shares, please contact our proxy solicitation agent, Laurel Hill Advisory Group, at 1-877-452-7184 toll-free in North America, or call collect outside North America at +1 416 304-0211, or by e-mail at [email protected].

 

 

For further information please contact:

 

Brenda Dayton
Telephone: 778.373.1557
Email: [email protected]

 

 

 

Caution with Respect to Forward-Looking Statements:  Except for statements of historical fact contained herein, the information in this press release includes certain “forward-looking information” or “forward-looking statements” within the meaning of applicable Canadian and US securities legislation. Forward-looking statements can generally be identified by the use of forward-looking terminology such as “expects”, “will”, “will continue to”, or similar terminology. Forward-looking statements include but are not limited to, statements related to expected production rates, ore output and grade results, plans and intentions with respect to activities on the Project, and the results of ongoing drilling supporting past resource estimates, the ability of the Company to consummate the Transaction on the terms of the Transaction agreement, the receipt of necessary approvals including shareholder, Toronto Stock Exchange, regulatory and other third party approvals. There can be no assurance that such statements will prove to be accurate, and actual results and future events could differ materially from those anticipated in such statements. Forward-looking information is based on reasonable assumptions that have been made by the Company as at the date of such information and is subject to known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that may cause the actual results, level of activity, performance or achievements of the Company to differ materially from statements in this press release regarding our intentions including, without limitation, risks and uncertainties disclosed in the section entitled “Risk Factors” contained in our proxy circular as well as in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2018. Investors are cautioned that forward-looking statements are not guarantees of future performance and, accordingly, investors should not put undue reliance on forward-looking statements. Any forward-looking statement made by the Company in the press release is based only on information currently available to us and speaks only as of the date on which it is made. The Company does not undertake to update any forward-looking information that is contained or incorporated by reference herein, except in accordance with applicable securities laws.

 

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