Ukraine Q1 GDP shrinks 0.5% year-on-year, statistics service says

May 5, 2026 8:27 AM EDT

A view shows coke production at Zaporizhzhia Coke Plant, amid Russia’s attack on Ukraine, in Zaporizhzhia, Ukraine April 11, 2024. REUTERS/Stringer

May 5 (Reuters) - Ukraine's ‌economy shrank ​0.5% ​year-on-year in real terms in the first quarter of 2026, the statistics service said ‌on Tuesday.

Gross domestic product was down 0.7% compared ⁠with the fourth quarter, it added.

The Ukrainian economy contracted ‌as Russia pounded the energy ‌sector and other infrastructure with hundreds of drones and missiles during a very cold winter, forcing ​long blackouts and disrupting water and heating supplies, economists said.

Due to the contraction in the ⁠first quarter of the year, challenges in the energy sector, and the ​negative impact of the war in Iran, Ukraine's central bank has downgraded its forecast ​for GDP growth for 2026 ‌to 1.3% from about 1.8% previously.

GDP growth is expected to pick up later ⁠in the year due to warmer weather and smaller energy deficits, economists and officials said.

Statistics data showed that ⁠industrial production also fell by 1.1% in the first quarter of ​the year. The statistics service said that it grew by 4.5% year-on-year in March after a 2.6% fall in ‌February and 8.1% decrease in January.

Ukraine's GDP grew by 1.8% in 2025 after ‌a 2.9% increase in 2024, but the economy is ⁠still about 20% smaller ‌than it was ​before Russia's invasion in February 2022.

(Reporting by Yuliia Dysa, Olena Harmash, editing by Chizu ‌Nomiyama )



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