UK public inflation expectations surged after Iran war, BoE says

June 12, 2026 4:44 AM EDT

A shopper walks along an aisle inside a Tesco supermarket in Manchester, Britain, February 5, 2026 REUTERS/Phil Noble

LONDON, June ‌12 (Reuters) - The ​British ​public's expectations for inflation in the long ‌term rose to a record ⁠high last month after the U.S.-Israeli ‌war on Iran ‌sent energy prices soaring, the Bank of England's quarterly inflation ​attitudes survey showed on Friday.

The public's median expectation ⁠for the rate of inflation in the ​year ahead increased to 4% from 3.2% in February.

For inflation ​in five years' ‌time, expectations rose to 3.9% in May from ⁠3.7% in February - their highest level since BoE records for ⁠this time series began in 2009 ​and far above the BoE's target for consumer price inflation of 2.0%.

BoE ‌policymakers monitor the public's inflation expectations carefully for ‌signs that price pressures ⁠are becoming permanently ‌embedded in ​consumer behaviour.

(Reporting by Suban Abdulla, editing by Andy ‌Bruce)



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