Swedish government raises GDP forecast ahead of September election

August 27, 2026 10:59 AM EDT

Swedish Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson attends a press conference in Stockholm, Sweden, May 27, 2026. REUTERS/Tom Little

STOCKHOLM, Aug 27 (Reuters) - Sweden's ‌centre-right coalition ​raised its ​forecast for GDP growth ahead of an election next month and said its policies to boost households ‌and businesses meant Sweden's economy would outpace European rivals over ⁠the coming four years.

In a fresh forecast on Thursday the government said its ‌GDP growth would be ‌2.5%, up from 2.3% seen in June. It continued to see growth of 2.5% in 2027.

"Sweden is in a significantly stronger ​position than it was in 2022," Finance Minister Elisabeth Svantesson told reporters.

"It is stronger in terms of economic indicators such ⁠as inflation, stronger in terms of the current recovery, and is now seeing growth that ​is relatively high compared with many, many other countries," she said.

The EU is expected to see growth ​of around 1.1% this year.

Sweden's government will ‌hope its bullish message on the economy helps turn around its deficit in the polls ahead of ⁠the September 13 vote.

Like many other countries, Sweden has been suffering a cost-of-living crisis that followed the COVID pandemic.

The government has cut taxes ⁠on fuel and VAT on food and raised in-work tax credits, and it ​is promising more measures to boost households' purchasing power - like free kindergarten places and more in-work tax credits - if it wins re-election.

But despite inflation slowing ‌back below 1%, stronger growth and an improving labour market, households remain gloomy - particularly those on lower ‌incomes.

The latest poll on Thursday showed the ruling coalition and the ⁠Sweden Democrats garnering 45.6% of ‌the vote. The opposition ​is on 52.4%.

($1 = 9.5201 Swedish crowns)

(Reporting by Simon Johnson and Anna Ringstrom, editing by Terje Solsvik and ‌Hugh Lawson)



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