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Sweden election race tightens as Liberals make parliament threshold, poll shows

September 7, 2026 4:24 AM EDT

A poster of Swedish Prime Minister and leader of the Moderates Ulf Kristersson on his party’s campaign stand for the upcoming election in Malmo, Sweden, August 26, 2026. REUTERS/Tom Little

STOCKHOLM, Sept 7 (Reuters) - ‌Sweden's ruling ​right-wing ​bloc has closed in further on the centre-left opposition ahead of Sunday's general election, ‌according to a fresh opinion poll by ⁠Novus that shows the Liberals party making parliament's 4% threshold ‌for the first time ‌in years.

While earlier polls have pointed to near-certain victory for the opposition headed by Social Democrats ​leader Magdalena Andersson, the latest surveys show that the government of Prime Minister Ulf Kristersson, ⁠in office since 2022, may still win.

The Novus poll, published on Monday ​by commercial broadcaster TV4, indicated 50.3% backing for the four centre-left parties while the ​three-party government and its support ‌party, the anti-immigration Sweden Democrats, stood at 47.9%.

The gap between the blocs was ⁠0.2 percentage points smaller than in Novus' previous poll.

Junior coalition party the Liberals rose to 4.3% from ⁠3.3%, clearing the threshold needed to win seats and easing fears ​the party could lose its 16 seats and the coalition its majority.

Three weeks ago the centre-left held a lead ‌of 10 percentage points in a poll by a different agency, which political ‌scientists at the time said was a near-insurmountable ⁠gap to bridge before ‌election day.

Novus polled ​2,888 voters between September 1 and September 5.

(Reporting by Anna Ringstrom, editing by Stine ‌Jacobsen)



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