New Zealand National support at weakest level since 2020, poll finds

October 5, 2026 4:13 PM EDT

FILE PHOTO: New Zealand's Prime Minister and Leader of the National Party, Christopher Luxon, speaks at the New Zealand National Party's election campaign launch in Auckland, New Zealand, September 27, 2026. REUTERS/David Rowland/File Photo

WELLINGTON, Oct 6 (Reuters) - ‌New Zealand's ​ruling ​National Party has fallen to 25.9% support, its weakest result since the 2020 election, ‌while the opposition Greens climbed to 14.8%, an ⁠RNZ-Reid Research poll showed on Tuesday, adding pressure on Prime ‌Minister Christopher Luxon a ‌month before the general election.

Labour also slipped to 30.8%, while the smaller Opportunity Party polled 5.5%, just ​above the threshold needed to enter parliament without winning an electorate seat.

• If the poll ⁠results are repeated on the November 7 election day, the result would ​leave neither Luxon's National-led bloc nor a Labour-Greens-Te Pati Maori grouping with a majority ​in the 120-seat parliament, potentially giving ‌Opportunity a pivotal role in coalition talks.

• Luxon has previously said that his ⁠National Party was unlikely to work with Opportunity because of its tax policies.

• New Zealand's electoral system favours ⁠coalitions, with the result still too close to call. The poll ​by 1News Verian released last week suggested that Labour, the Greens, Te Pati Maori and the Opportunity Party could govern in a ‌left-leaning coalition with 65 seats, against 59 for National, ACT and NZ First.

• ‌The online poll of 1,000 eligible voters was ⁠conducted from September 24 ‌to October 1 and ​had a margin of error of 3.1 percentage points.

(Reporting by Lucy Craymer; Editing by Mark ‌Porter)



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