Morning Bid: Trump cuts India deal, Australia hikes

February 3, 2026 12:38 AM EST

The facade of the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters is illuminated during a rehearsal of a ceremony to celebrate Bulgaria's accession to the Eurozone on January 1, 2026, in Frankfurt, Germany, December 30, 2025. REUTERS/Heiko Becker

A look at the ⁠day ahead in ⁠European ‍and global markets from Tom Westbrook

Trade took a steadier tone in the Asia session on Tuesday, with metals prices stabilising ‍and stocks generally recovering from a gold-and-silver-led wipeout on Monday.

Rebounds ​in Tokyo and Seoul were sharp and Indian shares cheered a deal U.S. President ​Donald Trump announced on Truth Social to lower tariffs on Indian goods in return for India quitting purchases of Russian oil.

As with other bilateral deals, there were few ​solid details and none around the timing but it was enough to lift the rupee by more than 1%. [FRX/][EMRG/FRX]

Australia's currency traded more than ​1% higher, too, after the central bank joined Japan as the only developed-world countries lifting interest ‌rates.

The 25-basis point hike was mostly expected by markets and comes with inflation running above target and the labour ​market tight. Investors have ramped up bets ⁠on a follow-up hike in May, which is priced at about 75%.

Ahead, the ECB's lending survey can help ‌investors gauge credit demand in Europe and earnings from Alphabet and Amazon later in the week anchor the U.S. calendar.

Elsewhere, market talk of a tax increase on ‌gaming had Chinese internet stocks wobbly, while silver and gold were trying to find ‌their footing. [.HK][GOL/]

Mining shares were accordingly higher in Australia, with rare earth miners also helped by Trump announcing plans for a strategic stockpile of critical minerals, backed by $10 billion ‍in seed funding from the U.S. Export-Import Bank.

Elon Musk said on Monday that SpaceX has acquired his artificial-intelligence ⁠startup xAI in a record-setting deal that unifies Musk's AI and space ambitions.

Key developments that could influence markets on Tuesday:

- ECB bank lending survey

- Fed Bowman speaks

- U.S. earnings: PayPal, Pfizer, Marathon and, after market close, AMD, Amcor and Mondelez

(Editing by Sam Holmes)



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