Moody's turns positive on sub-Saharan African countries

October 7, 2026 9:04 AM EDT

By Colleen Goko

JOHANNESBURG, Oct ‌7 (Reuters) - Moody's raised ​its ​outlook for sub-Saharan African countries to positive on Wednesday, saying reforms had helped them weather inflationary pressures, while ‌strong commodity prices and easier access to financing had improved ⁠their fiscal positions.

Moody's made the following observations:

• Cautions that heavy debt repayment burdens, ‌limited government income and risks ‌from climate change and regional security threats remain major weak spots

• Expects the region's economies to grow 4.3% in both 2026 ​and 2027, measured as a weighted average across countries.

• Forecasts the amount governments need to borrow each year, to cover deficits ⁠and repay maturing debt, will decline to 11.2% of GDP in 2027 from a peak ​of 12.3% in 2025

• Predicts total government debt will level off at 56.6% of GDP in 2027, down from ​62.4% in 2025.

• Expects Zambia and ‌Ethiopia to see the biggest drops in debt. Botswana, hit by weak diamond demand, and Gabon, which is ⁠struggling to rein in spending, will see the sharpest rises

• Kenya and Zambia will each spend about 35% of their government revenue just on ⁠interest payments in 2027, more than any other country in the region.

• Warns ​a prolonged surge in inflation, severe weather events or a sudden investor pullback from the region's bond markets could darken the picture

• Only two of the ‌25 countries it rates in the region, Botswana and Mauritius, are investment grade, meaning it considers them relatively ‌low-risk borrowers

• Of the 25, eight have positive outlooks — South Africa, ⁠Namibia, Angola, Nigeria, Togo, Ghana, ‌Republic of Congo and ​Zambia — 13 are stable and four are negative: Mauritius, Gabon, Mali and Senegal

(Reporting by Colleen Goko; Editing by ‌Alexander Smith)



Serious News for Serious Traders! Try StreetInsider.com Premium Free!

You May Also Be Interested In





Related Categories

Reuters