Lula's lead narrows in potential Brazil presidential runoff, Atlas/Bloomberg poll shows

August 31, 2026 6:22 AM EDT

Brazil's president, Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, participates in a press conference at the Alvorada Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, August 26, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado

SAO PAULO, ‌Aug 31 (Reuters) - ​Brazilian ​President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would win a ‌potential second-round vote in the October ⁠presidential election against opposition Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, ‌an AtlasIntel/Bloomberg poll showed ‌on Monday.

• Lula would receive 47.1% of votes in a second-round ​runoff, compared with 42.6% for Flavio Bolsonaro, son of ex-President Jair ⁠Bolsonaro, the poll showed.

• In a July poll, Lula ​was seen with 49.2% of votes, and Senator Bolsonaro with ​42.9%.

• In a first-round ‌scenario, Lula would lead with 43.4% of the votes, ⁠followed by Bolsonaro (33.7%), Augusto Cury (7.8%), Renan Santos (7.6%), and Ronaldo Caiado (3.3%).

• The previous poll ⁠showed Lula at 44.9% and Bolsonaro at ​35.8% in the first round.

• If no candidate wins more than 50% of valid votes ‌in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to ‌a runoff.

• AtlasIntel surveyed 5,014 people ⁠between August ‌25-30; margin of ​error 1 percentage point.

(Reporting by Isabel Teles; Editing by Aida ‌Pelaez-Fernandez)



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