Lula would beat Bolsonaro in a Brazilian runoff, CNT/MDA poll suggests

September 15, 2026 8:02 AM EDT

Brazil's President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva attends a ceremony at the Planalto Palace in Brasilia, Brazil, September 14, 2026. REUTERS/Adriano Machado

SAO PAULO, Sept ‌15 (Reuters) - ​Brazilian ​President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva would beat right-wing Senator Flavio ‌Bolsonaro if they were in a ⁠second-round runoff in next month's election, according to ‌a CNT/MDA poll released ‌on Tuesday.

• If there was a runoff, Lula would receive 47.3% of voter ​support, compared with 40% for the eldest son of former President Jair ⁠Bolsonaro, the poll said.

• In an August 11 poll, ​Lula led Senator Bolsonaro by 48% to 39.1%.

• In a first-round scenario, ​Lula would receive 40.5% ‌of voter support, followed by Bolsonaro (30.4%), Augusto Cury (6%), Ronaldo Caiado (3%) ⁠and Renan Santos (2.7%), according to the poll.

• The previous first-round survey showed Lula at ⁠42.4% and Bolsonaro at 28.7%.

• If no candidate ​wins more than 50% of valid votes in the October 4 first round, the two frontrunners ‌advance to a runoff on October 25.

• CNT surveyed 2,002 people ‌from September 9 to 13 with ⁠a margin of ‌error of 2.2 ​percentage points.

(Reporting by Eduardo Simoes and Gabriel Araujo; Editing by Andrew ‌Heavens)



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