Lula leads Bolsonaro but gap narrows ahead of Brazil election, poll shows

August 5, 2026 6:38 AM EDT

Brazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva speaks during his nomination as a candidate to run for his fourth term in October's presidential election at a convention held by the Workers' Party (PT), in Sao Paulo, Brazil, August 2, 2026. REUTERS/Alexandr

SAO PAULO, Aug ‌5 (Reuters) - Brazilian ​President ​Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva continues to lead Senator Flavio Bolsonaro, ‌although the right-wing challenger has narrowed the ⁠gap with the leftist incumbent ahead of October's ‌election, a Quaest poll ‌commissioned by brokerage Genial showed on Wednesday.

• In a simulated second-round runoff, Lula ​would receive 44%support compared with 39% for Bolsonaro.

• A July 15 Quaest poll ⁠had Lula leading Bolsonaro by 45% to 37%.

• In a ​first-round scenario, Lula would lead with 39% of the votes, followed by ​Bolsonaro (30%), Renan Santos (4%), Ronaldo ‌Caiado (4%), and Romeu Zema (2%).

• Senator Bolsonaro is the eldest son of ⁠former President Jair Bolsonaro.

• The previous poll showed Lula at 40% and Bolsonaro at 28% ⁠in the first round.

• If no candidate wins more ​than 50% of valid votes in the first round, the two frontrunners advance to a runoff.

• ‌Quaest surveyed 2,004 people between July 31 and August 3, with ‌a margin of error of 2 percentage ⁠points.

(Reporting by Gabriel ‌Araujo in Sao ​Paulo and Michael Susin in Barcelona, Editing by Louise Heavens and Sharon ‌Singleton)



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