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Italy consumer morale plunges to two-and-a-half year low

March 26, 2026 6:09 AM EDT

People walk inside the Galleria Vittorio Emanuele II shopping arcade in Milan, Italy, January 12, 2026. REUTERS/Daniele Mascolo

ROME, March 26 (Reuters) - Morale ‌among Italian ​consumers ​fell in March to its lowest since October 2023 following the US-Israeli attack on Iran, while business ‌sentiment was roughly stable, data showed on Thursday, in ⁠mixed signs for the euro zone's third largest economy.

National statistics institute ISTAT's consumer ‌confidence index plunged to ‌92.6 from 97.4 the previous month, well below a median forecast of 95.5 in a Reuters' poll of seven analysts.

The ​country's main business lobby Confindustria forecast on Wednesday the Italian economy will grow by 0.5% this year, cutting its ⁠previous 0.7% estimate made in October and warning of strong downside risks if the ​conflict in Iran drags on.

The slump in consumer morale is more bad news for Prime Minister Giorgia ​Meloni, following her defeat in a ‌March 22-23 referendum on a flagship reform of the justice system.

The composite business morale index, combining surveys ⁠of the manufacturing, retail, construction and services sectors, decreased marginally to 97.3 this month from 97.4 in February.

The sub-index for manufacturing increased ⁠to 88.8 from 88.5 the previous month, ISTAT said.

The Italian economy grew by ​0.3% in the fourth quarter of last year from the previous three months and expanded 0.8% on a year-on-year basis, a slightly stronger reading ‌than expected.

The government currently has an economic growth target of 0.7% for this year, which it ‌set last autumn, and is due to publish updated targets ⁠next month.

Italian gross domestic product ‌rose 0.5% in ​2025, a third straight year of sub-1% growth.

(Reporting by Antonella Cinelli, graphic by Stefano Bernabei, editing by ‌Gavin Jones)



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