Global investors turn most bullish since February, BofA survey shows

MILAN, July 14 (Reuters) - Global ‌investor sentiment ​has climbed ​to its strongest level since February, with fund managers growing more optimistic on the economic outlook, artificial intelligence-linked ‌spending and the prospect of a dovish Federal Reserve, ⁠Bank of America's latest Global Fund Manager Survey showed.

Cash allocations fell to an "uber-low" ‌of 3.6% from 4.1% in ‌June, level that triggered BofA's contrarian sell signal, while a record share of respondents said they expect a "no landing" for the ​global economy.

The survey was carried out between July 2 and July 9, after the interim deal to end the U.S.-Iran ⁠war and largely before hostilities resumed.

Key findings from the July survey in more detail:

• Investor ​sentiment rose to its highest level since February, reflecting optimism about economic growth, AI-related capital expenditure and ​expectations for easier monetary policy.

• A record ‌54% of respondents expect a "no landing" scenario for the global economy, while only 2% anticipate a hard ⁠landing.

• U.S. equity allocations were raised to the highest overweight position since December 2024.

• Long global semiconductor stocks remained the market's most crowded trade ⁠for a third consecutive month, cited by 82% of investors.

• While some investors ​trimmed technology positions in July, none reported being short the sector.

• 61% of respondents say hyperscalers are unlikely to cut capital expenditure this year, versus ‌28% expecting reductions.

• AI bubble risks rose to the top spot among largest tail risk facing markets, ‌pointed to by 45% of respondents.

• 83% do not expect the ⁠Fed to raise interest rates ‌before the U.S. ​midterm elections in November.

• Investors cut their end-2026 oil price forecast to $71 a barrel from $86 in June.

(Reporting by ‌Danilo Masoni)

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