French central bank sees first quarter growth of 0.2-0.3%

February 11, 2026 2:02 PM EST

FILE PHOTO: A general view shows the Montparnasse Tower and the Eiffel Tower with the financial and business district of La Defense in the background, in Paris, France, August 22, 2025. REUTERS/Abdul Saboor/File Photo

PARIS, Feb 11 (Reuters) - France's ‌growth outlook ​picked ​up at the start of the year, with businesses reporting a firmer-than-expected rebound in activity and ‌signalling that momentum should carry into the coming ⁠months, the central bank said on Wednesday.

The euro zone's second-biggest economy ‌is on course to grow ‌0.2-0.3% this quarter from the previous three months when it expanded 0.2%, the Bank of France estimated.

The central ​bank gave the forecast in its latest monthly business sentiment survey, which showed companies across industry, services ⁠and construction entering February with improved confidence, despite lingering uncertainties linked to global ​trade tensions.

The Bank of France said industrial output strengthened again in January, extending a months-long run ​above its long-term trend. The improvement ‌was led by sectors tied to defence and aerospace demand, including electronics and machinery.

Meanwhile, services ⁠and construction also advanced, both outpacing what firms had anticipated a month earlier.

Companies expect activity to continue rising in February, ⁠with industry set to grow at a solid pace while services and ​construction point to more measured gains.

Reported uncertainty eased further in services and construction but remained elevated overall and even edged up slightly ‌in industry, reflecting trade tensions.

Cash-flow conditions were still judged slightly weak in manufacturing but improved ‌in services, though with sharp divergences across segments. Supply ⁠chain tensions remained contained ‌overall but worsened in ​aerospace and electronics, while recruitment difficulties increased, particularly in construction.

(Reporting by Leigh Thomas; Editing by Anil ‌D'Silva)



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