Flavio Bolsonaro slightly ahead of Lula in Brazil runoff, Datafolha poll shows

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October 8, 2026 5:57 PM EDT

Brazilian presidential candidate Flavio Bolsonaro of the Liberal Party (PL) speaks at a meeting with members of Brazil's Republicans party to announce the party's support for his campaign, ahead of the runoff election, in Brasilia, Brazil, October 7, 2026

SAO PAULO, ‌Oct 8 (Reuters) - ​Brazilian ​Senator Flavio Bolsonaro is slightly leading President Luiz ‌Inacio Lula da Silva in ⁠a simulated scenario of the October ‌25 presidential runoff, a ‌Datafolha poll showed on Thursday.

• The senator, the eldest son ​of former President Jair Bolsonaro, would receive 49% of ⁠the vote compared with 45% for Lula, Datafolha ​poll showed.

• It is the first Datafolha poll after the ​first-round vote on ‌Sunday, in which the younger Bolsonaro surprisingly led Lula.

• ⁠The poll's result still represents a technical tie as the ⁠poll's margin of error is of plus-minus ​2 percentage points.

• 5% of the respondents said they would cast a blank ‌vote, and undecided voters made up 1%, the poll ‌showed.

• Datafolha surveyed 2,520 ⁠people in-person between ‌October 6-7.

(Reporting ​by Andre Romani; Editing by Kylie Madry and Iñigo ‌Alexander)


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