Ethiopia sees higher spending next fiscal year due to Iran war costs

June 11, 2026 3:36 AM EDT

A general view of the skyline of Addis Ababa, Ethiopia November 3, 2021. REUTERS/Tiksa Negeri

June 11 (Reuters) - Ethiopia's government ‌expects overall spending ​will ​rise next fiscal year mainly due to costs related to the Iran war, its finance minister said on Thursday.

Minister ‌Ahmed Shide said in a budget speech that overall ⁠spending was projected to rise to roughly 2.34 trillion birr ($14.69 billion) in the 2026/27 ‌fiscal year that starts ‌next month, from 1.92 trillion birr in the current fiscal year.

"This increase mostly takes into account expenses related to the Middle East ​crisis," the minister told lawmakers.

He did not elaborate on the costs caused by the Iran war, but the government has increased ⁠fuel subsidies since the war started.

A budget deficit of 1.4% of gross domestic product is ​expected next fiscal year, smaller than the deficit of 2.2% of GDP the finance ministry forecast a year ago ​for this fiscal year.

The government predicts ‌economic growth of 10.1% next year, similar to this year's growth.

Ethiopia's export revenue over the first 10 months ⁠of this fiscal year stood at $8.7 billion, Ahmed said, and by the end of the year the country expects to earn $10.5 billion from its exports.

The ⁠Horn of Africa country's export figures are closely watched by markets as they ​have been at the centre of a row between bondholders and the government over whether Ethiopia faces an insolvency problem or a liquidity issue.

Restructuring talks over ‌Ethiopia's $1 billion international bond hit another stumbling block last month when bondholders rejected the government's latest offer.

Some ‌bondholders are planning to take legal action.

"Debt restructuring negotiations, including with Eurobond ⁠creditors, are currently underway, and ‌we are close to ​reaching an agreement with some of them," Ahmed said. ($1 = 159.3150 birr)

(Reporting by Nairobi newsroom;Editing by Alexander Winning and ‌Alex Richardson)



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