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ECB survey shows broadly unchanged inflation outlook

July 24, 2026 4:03 AM EDT

FILE PHOTO: European Union flags flutter outside the European Central Bank (ECB) headquarters in Frankfurt, Germany, March 19, 2026. REUTERS/Jana Rodenbusch/File Photo

FRANKFURT, July 24 (Reuters) - ‌Euro zone ​inflation ​expectations remained broadly unchanged over the past three months and price growth is ‌seen falling quickly next year before returning back ⁠to the 2% target in 2028, a European Central ‌Bank survey showed on ‌Friday.

Inflation, the ECB's primary focus, has been running at about 3% for months due to surging ​energy costs, but most economists think price growth is close to peaking and will ⁠decline back towards the target sometime in 2027.

The survey, a key input ​in policy deliberations, showed inflation averaging 2.7% this year, unchanged from the previous ​projection, while the 2027 figure ‌was raised to 2.2% from 2.1%. Inflation will then hit 2% in 2028 ⁠and stay there, the survey showed.

The ECB left interest rates unchanged on Thursday as the energy price ⁠surge has yet to generate second-round effects that could perpetuate ​rapid inflation, but it clearly hinted at more tightening ahead, possibly as soon as September.

The ECB also stayed on ‌hold because economic growth remained lukewarm, and fresh survey projections highlighted this weakness.

Growth ‌this year is seen at 0.6%, below the ⁠1.0% projected three ‌months earlier, while ​next year's growth was lowered to 1.2% from 1.3%.

(Reporting by Balazs Koranyi;Editing by Helen ‌Popper)



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