Citi cuts bitcoin, ether forecasts as ETF flows turn negative

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July 1, 2026 3:11 AM EDT

FILE PHOTO: Citi Bank logo appears in this illustration taken December 1, 2025. REUTERS/Dado Ruvic/Illustration/File Photo

By Rashika Singh

July 1 (Reuters) - ‌Citigroup slashed ​its ​12-month forecasts for bitcoin and ether, saying weakening investor appetite, negative exchange-traded fund flows and a lack ‌of progress on U.S. digital asset legislation have hurt ⁠the outlook for the two largest cryptocurrencies.

The brokerage, in a note dated ‌Tuesday, lowered its target for ‌bitcoin to $82,000 from $112,000 and trimmed its ether forecast to $2,240 from $3,175.

Bitcoin was last trading at $58,864.27, its weakest level since September ​2024, having halved in value from an all-time high of $126,223.18 in October last year. Ether was last at $1,585.63, its ⁠lowest since April 2025.

Crypto markets have struggled this year amid heightened market volatility, investor ​hype around big expected IPOs and persistent ETF outflows that track the assets.

Both cryptocurrencies are trading below ​their long-term moving-day averages, reflecting ‌bearish sentiment. Citi's bear-case scenario, which assumes recessionary macroeconomic conditions and continued ETF outflows, values bitcoin ⁠at $53,000 and ether at $1,094 over the next year.

Citi said its revision was driven by its decision to cut its 12-month net ETF inflow ⁠assumption to zero from $10 billion.

"ETF flows, an important driver of prices, have ​turned negative recently," it said, adding that bitcoin ETF flows were down about $3.3 billion so far this year. The brokerage expects broader investor ‌adoption to remain on hold until a new catalyst emerges.

It also said that slow progress on ‌U.S. crypto legislation and concerns over potential bitcoin selling by digital ⁠asset treasury companies have ‌hit investor sentiment, with ​the weakness coinciding with a rotation into AI-related assets.

(Reporting by Rashika Singh in Bengaluru; Editing by Sonia ‌Cheema)


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