Canada's services PMI hits four-month low on geopolitical uncertainty

July 6, 2026 9:48 AM EDT

Patrons are served at Le Violon restaurant in Montreal, Quebec, Canada, June 3, 2026. REUTERS/Nasuna Stuart-Ulin

By Fergal Smith

TORONTO, July ‌6 (Reuters) - Canada's services ​economy ​contracted in June as geopolitical uncertainty and elevated prices dampened demand, S&P Global's Canada services PMI data showed on ‌Monday.

The headline Business Activity Index fell to 47.1 last month ⁠from 50.6 in May, marking the lowest level since February. A reading below 50 ‌shows a contraction in activity.

"Canada's ‌service sector returned to contraction territory during June as worries related to geopolitics and government policies resurfaced, weighing heavily on activity and ​sales," Paul Smith, economics director at S&P Global Market Intelligence, said in a statement.

The new business index was at 47.5, down from ⁠49.8 in May, and confidence in the outlook dropped to its lowest level since November.

Some shipping ​has resumed through the Strait of Hormuz following an interim peace deal between the U.S. and Iran, but the ​months-long closure of the vital global ‌supply route for oil and liquefied natural gas has lifted inflation globally.

Canada has one of the highest food inflation ⁠rates among Group of Seven countries. Prime Minister Mark Carney has pledged to invest more than C$1 billion ($704.23 million) to promote competition among grocers and ⁠food processors.

"High selling prices were also noted as being a drag on sales, something ​that firms themselves were wary of, serving as a check on their pricing power," Smith said.

The prices charged index pulled back to 54.5 after posting in ‌May a nearly three-year high of 56.7.

The S&P Global Canada Composite PMI fell to 47.9 last month from 50.8 ‌in May, weighed by the decline in service sector activity.

Data on Thursday showed ⁠that the S&P Global Canada ‌Manufacturing PMI edged up ​to 53.0 from 52.9 in May as production and employment rose.

($1 = 1.4200 Canadian dollars)

(Reporting by Fergal Smith; Editing by ‌Paul Simao)



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