Brazil mid-September inflation exceeds forecasts ahead of tight election

September 25, 2026 8:37 AM EDT

A salesman is seen at his vegetable stand at the supply centre (CEASA) in Brasilia, Brazil May 9, 2023. REUTERS/Adriano Machado REFILE - QUALITY REPEAT

SAO PAULO, Sept ‌25 (Reuters) - Brazil's ​mid-September ​inflation accelerated more than expected, official data showed on Friday, adding to concerns about ‌persistent price pressures as voters head into a ⁠tight presidential election and the central bank weighs its next ‌steps after cutting interest ‌rates for a fifth straight meeting.

Annual inflation hit 4.47% in the period, statistics agency IBGE said, up ​from 4.24% a month earlier and above all forecasts in a Reuters poll of economists, which ⁠had a median estimate of 4.30%.

• In the month to mid-September, ​consumer prices rose 0.70%, reversing a 0.40% decline in mid-August and exceeding the median forecast ​of 0.53% in the Reuters ‌survey

• Housing costs were the main driver of the monthly increase, rising 2.07% ⁠as electricity prices moved higher, while closely-watched food and beverage prices rose 0.4%

• Annual inflation remained within the central ⁠bank's target range of 3%, plus or minus 1.5 percentage ​points

• The bank lowered the benchmark Selic rate by 25 basis points last week to 13.75%, citing signs of an ‌economic slowdown, and kept its options open ahead of next month's election

• Inflation has ‌become a central campaign issue as leftist President ⁠Luiz Inacio Lula da ‌Silva seeks re-election ​in a tight race against right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro

(Reporting by Gabriel Araujo; Editing by Isabel ‌Teles)



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