Bank of Canada lifts growth forecasts for 2026 and 2027

April 29, 2026 9:47 AM EDT

FILE PHOTO: A view of the Bank of Canada building framed by tulips in Ottawa, Ontario, Canada May 8, 2025. REUTERS/Blair Gable/File Photo

OTTAWA, April ‌29 (Reuters) - The ​Bank ​of Canada on Wednesday slightly lifted its growth ‌forecasts for 2026 and 2027 ⁠on the assumption that U.S. tariffs ‌remain unchanged and oil ‌prices gradually decline to $75 a barrel by mid-2027.

In its quarterly ​monetary policy outlook, the bank said 2026 growth would ⁠be 1.2% compared to its 1.1% forecast in ​January and 2027 growth would be 1.6%, up from 1.5%.

On ​an annualised basis, ‌first quarter growth in 2026 was 1.5%, down from ⁠the 1.8% predicted in January. Second quarter annualized growth will ⁠most likely be 1.5%. the bank said.

Annual ​inflation in 2026 will average 2.3%, up from the 2.0% forecast in January, ‌before declining to 2.1% in 2027, added the bank, ‌which targets 2.0% inflation.

(Reporting ⁠by David Ljunggren, ‌editing by ​Promit Mukherjee)

((Reuters Ottawa bureau, +1 647 480 7921; [email protected]))

Keywords: CANADA ‌CENBANK/FORECASTS



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