Fitch Affirms Sul America S.A. at 'BB-'; Outlook Negative
RIO DE JANEIRO--(BUSINESS WIRE)-- Fitch Ratings has affirmed Sul America S.A.'s (SASA) long-term local and foreign currency Issuer Default Ratings (IDRs) at 'BB-' and its short-term local and foreign currency IDRs at 'B'. The Rating Outlook on SASA's long-term IDRs is Negative and mirrors the Negative Outlook of Brazil's sovereign ratings (long-term IDR 'BB+'/Outlook Negative).
KEY RATING DRIVERS
The affirmation of SASA's ratings reflects its strong franchise led by a significant presence in the health and auto segments, its consistent and adequate operating performance throughout economic cycles, adequate liquidity and capitalization, and robust risk management practices. The rating action also takes into account the constraints posed by Brazil's sovereign ratings on SASA's IDRs, reflecting the full concentration of its operations in Brazil and its large Brazilian government securities holdings (approximately 1.8 times its total equity at September 2015).
SASA posted solid premium growth in its core businesses in the first three quarters of 2015. This enabled it to maintain its ranking as the second and fourth largest insurer in health and auto insurance segments, where its premiums were up 15% and 17%, respectively, compared to September 2014. The Brazilian insurance sector has so far remained resilient to the very weak economic backdrop, characterized by a severe recession, increasing unemployment and inflation, and worsening fiscal performance. Fitch expects sector premium growth to decelerate in 2016 but expects the key credit metrics of SASA, and the insurance sector in general, to remain adequate.
As of September 2015, SASA's profitability remained strong, as evidenced by an operating ratio and an average ROA of 94.6% and 2.9%, respectively (94.1% and 3.1%, respectively, in 2014). Profitability was supported by good technical results and solid financial income.
SASA's leverage, measured by the net liabilities/equity ratio, and operating leverage, measured by net earned premiums/equity, are slightly higher than peer averages in Latin America. At September 2015, these stood at 3.6x and 3.4x, respectively, broadly unchanged from a year ago. Meanwhile, the debt/equity ratio declined to 20.2% at September 2015 from 25.9% in December 2014, as SASA started amortizing its old debt in 2015. Fitch expects leverage to stabilize at the existing levels, but any continued increase could become a negative rating driver in the future.
SASA's liquidity remained adequate at September 2015. Its liquid assets/net technical reserves ratio was 1.08x, broadly unchanged from the 2013-2014 average.
Fitch applied exceptional notching for a ring-fenced regulatory environment between the implied insurance operating company and holding company IDRs. Notching was compressed by one relative to standard notching, as sovereign related risks have so far not affected SASA's key credit metrics, which remain stable and adequate for its ratings.
RATING SENSITIVITIES
In case of an additional downgrade to Brazil's sovereign ratings, SASA's IDRs would be subject to a review that could result in a range of rating actions from affirmation to a two notch downgrade based on Fitch's insurance rating criteria that allows flexibility on how sovereign considerations are factored into insurance rating notching. The ultimate decision would be driven by the rationale for the sovereign rating action and Fitch's view of how this impacts SASA's operating environment, investment risk and overall creditworthiness.
In addition, a sustained and material deterioration in profitability, characterized by an ROA below 0.5%; the deterioration of the liabilities/equity ratio to above 5.0x; an increase in the financial leverage (financial debt/equity) to above 25% for a sustained period; a fall in the interest coverage ratio to below 2.0x; or a significant reduction in the holding's liquidity, could negatively affect the ratings.
Additional information is available on www.fitchratings.com
Applicable Criteria
Insurance Rating Methodology (pub. 16 Sep 2015)
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/reports/report_frame.cfm?rpt_id=871172
Additional Disclosures
Dodd-Frank Rating Information Disclosure Form
https://www.fitchratings.com/creditdesk/press_releases/content/ridf_frame.cfm?pr_id=999798
Solicitation Status
https://www.fitchratings.com/gws/en/disclosure/solicitation?pr_id=999798
Endorsement Policy
https://www.fitchratings.com/jsp/creditdesk/PolicyRegulation.faces?context=2&detail=31
ALL FITCH CREDIT RATINGS ARE SUBJECT TO CERTAIN LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS. PLEASE READ THESE LIMITATIONS AND DISCLAIMERS BY FOLLOWING THIS LINK: HTTP://FITCHRATINGS.COM/UNDERSTANDINGCREDITRATINGS. IN ADDITION, RATING DEFINITIONS AND THE TERMS OF USE OF SUCH RATINGS ARE AVAILABLE ON THE AGENCY'S PUBLIC WEBSITE 'WWW.FITCHRATINGS.COM'. PUBLISHED RATINGS, CRITERIA AND METHODOLOGIES ARE AVAILABLE FROM THIS SITE AT ALL TIMES. FITCH'S CODE OF CONDUCT, CONFIDENTIALITY, CONFLICTS OF INTEREST, AFFILIATE FIREWALL, COMPLIANCE AND OTHER RELEVANT POLICIES AND PROCEDURES ARE ALSO AVAILABLE FROM THE 'CODE OF CONDUCT' SECTION OF THIS SITE. FITCH MAY HAVE PROVIDED ANOTHER PERMISSIBLE SERVICE TO THE RATED ENTITY OR ITS RELATED THIRD PARTIES. DETAILS OF THIS SERVICE FOR RATINGS FOR WHICH THE LEAD ANALYST IS BASED IN AN EU-REGISTERED ENTITY CAN BE FOUND ON THE ENTITY SUMMARY PAGE FOR THIS ISSUER ON THE FITCH WEBSITE.
View source version on businesswire.com: http://www.businesswire.com/news/home/20160222006030/en/
Fitch Ratings
Primary Analyst
Esin Celasun
Director
+55-21-4503-2626
Fitch
Ratings Brasil Ltda.
Praca XV de Novembro, 20 - 401 B,
Rio de
Janeiro, RJ, Brazil
or
Secondary Analyst
Rodrigo Salas
Senior
Director
+56-2-2499-3309
or
Committee Chairperson
Julie
Burke
Managing Director
+1-312-368-3158
or
Media
Relations:
Elizabeth Fogerty, +1 212-908-0526
[email protected]
Source: Fitch Ratings
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