FBS Analysts Link Fed Signals to a Potential Crypto Comeback

SINGAPORE, June 13, 2025 /PRNewswire/ -- FBS, a leading global broker, has published a new expert analysis exploring how macroeconomic shifts, especially the normalization of the US Treasury yield curve, may create growth opportunities for the crypto market in 2025.

After two years of an inverted yield curve — a widely watched recession signal — the spread between the 10-year and 2-year US Treasury bond yields is beginning to rebound. FBS analysts believe this development could mark a turning point for investor sentiment and market liquidity, with digital assets among the first to benefit.

Historically, yield curve normalization coincides with expectations of interest rate cuts, as central banks prepare to support slowing economies. In the current cycle, declining inflation and rising political pressure on the Federal Reserve are fueling anticipation of a move toward lower interest rates. This is already reflected in market pricing, and crypto markets are paying attention.

"Periods of easing monetary policy have often been strong catalysts for digital assets," the FBS team explains. "We saw that clearly in 2020, when Bitcoin surged over 500% following the Fed's rate cuts. As inflation slows and investor confidence returns, crypto may be entering a new cycle of growth."

The report highlights that Bitcoin has formed a bullish technical pattern — a cup and handle, with a key resistance level at $105 000. A breakout could open the door to a rally toward $157 000, or even $240 000. At the same time, altcoins are showing signs of life, with the Altcoin Season Index pointing to a possible momentum shift away from Bitcoin dominance.

While short-term volatility remains a risk, FBS analysts emphasize that macro signals from bond markets to CPI trends now suggest a more supportive environment for cryptocurrencies and other risk-sensitive assets.

Users can read the full market breakdown and crypto forecast in the latest FBS analysis.

About FBS

FBS is a global brand that unites several independent brokerage companies under the licenses of FSC (Belize), CySEC (Cyprus), and ASIC (Australia). With 16 years of experience and over 100 international awards, FBS is steadily developing as one of the market's most trusted brokers. Today, FBS serves over 27 000 000 traders and more than 700 000 partners around the globe. 

Disclaimer: This material does not constitute a call to trade, trading advice, or recommendation and is intended for informational purposes only.

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SOURCE FBS