BofA downgrades Tapestry as stock nears valuation ceiling after strong run

Investing.com -- Bank of America downgraded Tapestry (NYSE: TPR) Inc to Neutral from Buy, saying the stock’s sharp rally this year has left limited room for further gains despite ongoing sales momentum at its Coach brand.

Shares have climbed 66% year-to-date, far outpacing the S&P 500, and now trade near the high end of their 10-year valuation range.

BofA raised its price target to $115 from $95, reflecting higher earnings forecasts and a shift to a price-to-earnings valuation method as the company’s balance sheet normalizes.

While the firm expects a solid fiscal fourth quarter, including 5.4% sales growth and margins of 16.4%, it noted that this may be boosted by a later-than-usual start to Coach’s summer sale, which could distort comparisons.

BofA said fiscal 2026 guidance will be a key focus, anticipating mid-single-digit sales growth and stable margins.

The brokerage noted ongoing product strength at Coach, particularly at higher price points, but said it does not expect management to forecast another year of double-digit growth.

Operating margin expansion also looks limited, with Coach already running at over 33%.

Tariff-related pressure is likely to weigh modestly on gross margins in fiscal 2026, though Tapestry has outlined plans to offset the impact over time.

BofA expects margins to begin recovering in fiscal 2027 as mitigation efforts take full effect.

Despite some upside to near-term earnings, the brokerage sees the recent share price move as having already priced in much of the good news.

You May Also Be Interested In

• Are we witnessing a fundamental or speculative rally in the S&P 500?
• CrowdStrike posts record ARR growth, raises full-year outlook
• Veeva Systems beats estimates on AI progress