Following Recent Pullback, is Tesla (TSLA) Still Overvalued?

November 11, 2013 2:45 PM EST
Tesla Motors, Inc. (Nasdaq: TSLA) shares are making up for a rough October today after the company posted a letter from one of its Model S customers who was in a recent accident/fire, saying he'd buy another Tesla in a heartbeat.

But, one bear on the stock hasn't changed his tune. Barron's Bill Alpert commented today:

The growth reported last week by Tesla Motors was impressive for a car company, let alone an American car maker still in its first year of volume production.

Tesla delivered 5,500 units of its sleek, all-electric Model S in the September quarter, producing revenues of $431 million—more than eight laps ahead of the $50 million achieved a year ago. The Palo Alto, Calif.-based company reported profits of $16 million, or 12 cents a share (if you set aside 40 cents worth of non-cash charges and lease accounting required by generally-accepted accounting principles).


While Alpert might sound like he's getting positive on the stock, that's not the case. He noted Tesla's still-rich 162-times annualized free cash flow realized last quarter, which is still more than he's will to pay for the stock.

Alpert first commented on Tesla in a June piece (here), though shares are up 35 percent or so since then. Though the stock is no longer up over 400 percent on the year, short-term investors might want to take a look at recent activity in the name and evaluate how much higher expected future results will push the stock.

Shares of Tesla are up 4.7 percent Monday.


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