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Traders keep bets on Fed rate hike by October

June 10, 2026 8:53 AM EDT

A futures-options trader works on the floor at the New York Stock Exchange's NYSE American (AMEX) in New York City, U.S. June 8, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

June 10 (Reuters) - ‌Traders ​of ​short-term U.S. interest rates ‌edged away from bets ⁠that the Federal Reserve ‌rate will deliver ‌a rate hike as soon as ​September, but continued to show strong ⁠conviction of a rate hike ​by October, after a government report showed ​consumer inflation ‌rose 4.2% last month as ⁠economists had expected.

Pricing now reflects about ⁠a 45% chance of a ​September rate hike, versus just under 50% before ‌the report. Traders see about a ‌60% chance ⁠of a ‌hike by ​the October meeting.

(Reporting by Ann ‌Saphir)



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