US leading indicator declines sharply in March amid tariffs
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FILE PHOTO: Containers are stacked on the deck of cargo ship One Minato at Port Liberty New York in Staten Island, New York, U.S., April 2, 2025. REUTERS/Jeenah Moon/File Photo
WASHINGTON (Reuters) -A gauge of future U.S. economic activity fell sharply in March, potentially flagging tepid growth this year amid tariffs.
The Conference Board said on Monday its Leading Economic Index dropped 0.7% last month after decreasing 0.2% in February. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the index sliding 0.5%. It fell 1.2% in the six-month period ending in March after contracting 2.3% in the prior six months.
"March's decline was concentrated among three components that weakened amid soaring economic uncertainty ahead of pending tariff announcements," said Justyna Zabinska-La Monica, senior manager, business cycle indicators at The Conference Board.
Zabinska-La Monica was referring to consumer expectations, stock prices and new manufacturing orders.
"That said, the data does not suggest that a recession has begun or is about to start," said Zabinska-La Monica.
(Reporting By Lucia Mutikani)
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