Leap Day Should Provide for Ho-Hum Trading Session (SPY)
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The S&P 500 is trading down modestly today and, based on historical performance, that might not change much.
The following table provides for the performance of the S&P 500 on February 29th over the past several decades. There are 16 data points given that February 29th is a leap day, which happens every four years to balance time gained due to the rotation of the earth (we actually have ~365.25 days per year, so one is added in every four years).
As can be seen, only 38 percent of the recorded days ended positively, with the average move being a hair negative:
| Date | S&P 500 | Day Change |
| 2/29/2012 | $1,365.68 | -0.47% |
| 2/29/2008 | $1,330.63 | -2.71% |
| 2/29/2000 | $1,366.42 | 1.36% |
| 2/29/1996 | $640.43 | -0.67% |
| 2/29/1988 | $267.82 | 2.04% |
| 2/29/1984 | $157.06 | 0.15% |
| 2/29/1980 | $113.66 | 1.17% |
| 2/29/1972 | $106.57 | 0.36% |
| 2/29/1968 | $89.36 | -0.08% |
| 2/29/1960 | $56.12 | -0.07% |
| 2/29/1956 | $45.34 | -0.20% |
| 2/29/1952 | $23.26 | -0.13% |
| 2/29/1944 | $11.82 | -0.59% |
| 2/29/1940 | $12.13 | -0.16% |
| 2/29/1932 | $8.29 | -0.60% |
| 2/29/1928 | $17.26 | 0.58% |
| Average: | -0.00125% | |
| % Positive: | 37.50% |
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