SentinelOne (S): ARR miss offsets strong results, analyst cuts target

December 7, 2022 8:35 AM EST
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SentinelOne (NYSE: S) delivered better-than-expected results for its third quarter, buoyed by robust demand for cybersecurity services.

The company posted earnings per share of $0.16 on revenue of $115.32 million, beating analyst estimates for a loss of $0.25 and revenue of $95.7M. However, the company missed the annual recurring revenue (ARR) estimate, which came in at $487.4M vs the consensus of $497.5M.

The company’s profit soared 106% year-over-year, mainly due to the strong adoption of the company's cloud offering.

As a result, SentinelOne raised its full-year revenue forecast to $420-421M from the prior range of $415-417M. Analysts were looking for $416M in full-year revenue. For the fourth quarter, S projects it will generate $125M in revenue.

Barclays analyst Saket Kalia’s three key points from the earnings are:

  1. Net new ARR miss, which is “not surprising after CRWD’s quarter last week”;
  2. Questions whether FY24 net new ARR is de-risked enough;
  3. 4Q23 net new ARR is expected to be up 20% q/q which is below its seasonal trend of 40-80% historically.

The analyst cut the price target to $18 per share from the prior $20.

BTIG analyst Gray Powell said the results were “less bad than feared.”

“While we do not like cutting forecasts, we think the revised outlook is due entirely to a weak economic environment and that investor concerns over increased competition from Microsoft are overstated,” Powell wrote in a note.

By Senad Karaahmetovic

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