Morgan Stanley Downgrades Humana (HUM) to Underweight

February 2, 2026 2:56 AM EST
Get Alerts HUM Hot Sheet
Price: $392.22 -1.39%

Rating Summary:
    11 Buy, 22 Hold, 2 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 14 | Down: 11 | New: 17
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Morgan Stanley analyst Erin Wright downgraded Humana (NYSE: HUM) from Equalweight to Underweight with a price target of $174.00 (from $262.00).

The analyst comments: "While we continue to view the long term prospects of Medicare Advantage (MA) as favorable, where HUM is essentially a pure-play, we view HUM's 2026 bid strategy alongside incremental policy risk on the back of an unfavorable Advance Rate Notice (see note here) may slow HUM's progress on its multi-year turnaround strategy. We are lowering our Price Target to $174 (from $262), 9.1x 2027 P/E multiple (MCO peers at 10.0x). While, admittedly, the stock is already off ~24% YTD, hitting ~trough multiples, with what we view as incremental risk to '26/'27 estimates, its valuation may be more expensive than perceived. Importantly, we would emphasize that this is a relative call vs. Managed Care peers, where we see the positioning as more compelling for UNH, CVS, and CI (in that order) amid industry dislocation."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Humana click here. For more ratings news on Humana click here.

Shares of Humana closed at $195.20 yesterday.



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