Barclays on U.S. Power: An Obstacle Removed for HAP/MACT
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Price: $27.30 -0.26%
Rating Summary:
16 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell
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Today's Overall Ratings:
Up: 11 | Down: 12 | New: 13
Rating Summary:
16 Buy, 8 Hold, 0 Sell
Rating Trend: Up
Today's Overall Ratings:
Up: 11 | Down: 12 | New: 13
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Barclays on U.S. Power: An Obstacle Removed for HAP/MACT
Barclays analyst, Daniel Ford, said, "On 10/24, Judge Rosemary Collyer of the U.S. District Court in DC denied a motion by the Utility Air Regulatory Group (UARG) to postpone the Environmental Protection Agency's ruling on the Hazardous Air Pollutant Rule (HAP) by 1 year to 11/16/2012. This paves the way for a ruling by 12/16/2011."
"The UARG had urged the Court to grant a delay to consider the comments made. This ruling helps to remove uncertainty in the market regarding the timing of the HAP rule. We forecast that the rule results in 42 GW of shutdowns by 2015 with a potential 1-2 year delay for equipment installations."
"The risk factors to the HAP rule's implementation are declining though legislative risk remains."
"We reiterate our view that the best way to invest in Power is to buy integrateds with a yield hedge like OW rated PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL) with a 4.8% yield. Other high-yielding integrateds are FirstEnergy (NYSE: FE)(EW) and Ameren (NYSE: AEE)(EW)."
"We also like OW rated Calpine (NYSE: CPN) which has 70% of EBITDA in Texas or California which are relatively unaffected by these rules and have good
fundamentals otherwise. A riskier way to invest is OW rated coal-fired independent power producer GenOn Energy (NYSE: GEN)."
Barclays analyst, Daniel Ford, said, "On 10/24, Judge Rosemary Collyer of the U.S. District Court in DC denied a motion by the Utility Air Regulatory Group (UARG) to postpone the Environmental Protection Agency's ruling on the Hazardous Air Pollutant Rule (HAP) by 1 year to 11/16/2012. This paves the way for a ruling by 12/16/2011."
"The UARG had urged the Court to grant a delay to consider the comments made. This ruling helps to remove uncertainty in the market regarding the timing of the HAP rule. We forecast that the rule results in 42 GW of shutdowns by 2015 with a potential 1-2 year delay for equipment installations."
"The risk factors to the HAP rule's implementation are declining though legislative risk remains."
"We reiterate our view that the best way to invest in Power is to buy integrateds with a yield hedge like OW rated PPL Corporation (NYSE: PPL) with a 4.8% yield. Other high-yielding integrateds are FirstEnergy (NYSE: FE)(EW) and Ameren (NYSE: AEE)(EW)."
"We also like OW rated Calpine (NYSE: CPN) which has 70% of EBITDA in Texas or California which are relatively unaffected by these rules and have good
fundamentals otherwise. A riskier way to invest is OW rated coal-fired independent power producer GenOn Energy (NYSE: GEN)."
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