No Holiday Magic Expected for MetroPCS (PCS) Amid 'Grinch'-Like Takeover Bid

December 19, 2012 10:19 AM EST
MetroPCS (NYSE: PCS) is flat today amid speculation that there might not be a bidding war for the wireless provider after all.

Shares of the company are down 13 percent or so since the day before speculation on a deal with Deutsche Telekom's T-Mobile USA unit started. Sprint (NYSE: S) is up over 6 percent since then. Looking at the start of 2012, Sprint is up 135 percent, versus just a 15 percent gain for PCS.

One Bernstein analyst said PCS should have been valued at $9.27 to $16 per share at the time, excluding expected synergies. Inclusive of about $800 million in synergies, that valuation goes up to $11.84 to $19.51 per share.

So, Sprint, which is being heavily invested in by Japan's Softbank and is acquiring the rest of Clearwire (Nasdaq: CLWR), is probably off the table for a higher offer. Who is left, then?

The WSJ suggests that DISH Networks (Nasdaq: DISH) might be a candidate. DISH made an $11 per share proposal for PCS over the summer, according to regulatory filings. DISH has also been approached by Sprint for a possible wireless partnership, though nothing further has developed on that front. DISH might also wait and partner with a T-Mobile/PCS combination.

Given that Deutsche Telekom plans to invest $4.7 billion in expansion of T-Mobile's network in 2013, that seems like a smart play for PCS to do.

Another candidate might be Mexico's Carlos Slim. He isn't likely to do anything that might upset large America Movil (NYSE: AMX) shareholder AT&T (NYSE: T), but he is looking to make up for larger loses incurred in Europe. (AT&T maintains a 9.5 percent stake in the Movil.)

In any case, PCS holders could hang on for the ride. T-Mobile will begin selling Apple's (Nasdaq: AAPL) iPhone in 2013 and the network update will pay dividends as more and more consumers look for alternatives to contract-heavy carriers.

Shares are flat today.


Serious News for Serious Traders! Try StreetInsider.com Premium Free!

You May Also Be Interested In





Related Categories

Insiders' Blog, Mergers and Acquisitions, Rumors

Related Entities

Dividend, Carlos Slim