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UPDATE: Barclays Downgrades Arthur J. Gallagher (AJG) to Equalweight; P&C Price Increases Peak

July 31, 2012 7:54 AM EDT
Get Alerts AJG Hot Sheet
Price: $251.21 -0.9%

Rating Summary:
    20 Buy, 9 Hold, 2 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 13 | Down: 14 | New: 11
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(Updated - July 31, 2012 2:29 PM EDT)

Barclays downgraded Arthur J. Gallagher (NYSE: AJG) from Overweight to Equalweight with a price target of $38.00 (from $40.00).

Analyst, Jay Gelb, said, "Commercial P&C insurance pricing increased 4% y/y on average in 2Q12, in line with the pace of rate increases in the prior quarter. This means the pace of rate increases did not accelerate vs the prior quarter for the first time since 3Q11, according to the latest survey by the Council of Insurance Agents & Brokers. We view this data point as a negative development for the insurance brokers because these stocks are early P&C cycle plays. As a result, we downgrade both Brown & Brown (NYSE: BRO) and AJG."

FY12/13 EPS estimates lowered by $0.05, to $1.75/$2.05, respectively.

Gelb's Top Picks in P&C insurance are Ace Ltd (NYSE: ACE) and Arch Capital Group Ltd. (Nasdaq: ACGL)

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on Arthur J. Gallagher click here. For more ratings news on Arthur J. Gallagher click here.

Shares of Arthur J. Gallagher closed at $36.04 yesterday.


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