Q3 Preview: TiVo (TIVO) Expected to Post Losses, But Unlocking Patents is the Key to the Story

November 22, 2011 3:38 PM EST
Get Alerts TIVO Hot Sheet
Price: $6.09 --0%

Financial Fact:
Interest income: 1.26M

Today's EPS Names:
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Shares of TiVo Inc. (Nasdaq: TIVO) are trading slightly up on the day as the company is expected to report its third-quarter tonight following the closing bell. A conference call is scheduled for 5:00 pm EST. The conference call number is (877) 618-4505 Pass code: 25529718.

The Wall Street consensus is for a loss of ($0.23) per share on $50.57 million in sales. For the fiscal 2012, the Street sees $0.54 per share in earnings on $190.62 million in total sales. During the third quarter of fiscal 2011, the company reported earnings of ($0.18) per share on $41.3 million in total sales.

Analysts rate shares of TiVo with 7 Buy ratings, 4 Hold ratings, and 1 Sell ratings. The average price target on shares of TIVO is $14 and ranges from $11 to $18.

Analysts at Albert Fried & Company are bullish on the shares as they forecast a 23 percent increase in total sales for the quarter to $51.1 million. The firm forecasts earnings of ($0.15) per share due to a higher share count and slightly lower operating margins.

The firm currently rates shares of TIVO with a Buy rating and $15 price target. An analyst at Albert Fried & Company comments, "We think TIVO's patent "Time Warp" estate is intrinsically better than Motorola's (NYSE: MMI). In our view, because the PTO ruling in the DISH (Nasdaq: DISH) case favored TIVO the Company's patents have a significantly lower probability of infringing prior patent art. We note, TIVO's CEO Tom Rogers has stated one of the patents overturned in the DISH case was a MMI patent. Thus as TIVO now has a license."


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