Ticonderoga Reiterates a 'Buy' on Apache Corp. (APA); Raising Estimates and PT - Brushing Off Adversity in Q1

May 2, 2011 9:07 AM EDT
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Price: $40.47 +1.18%

Rating Summary:
    19 Buy, 26 Hold, 5 Sell

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    Up: 13 | Down: 14 | New: 11
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Ticonderoga reiterates a 'Buy' on Apache Corp. (NYSE: APA), raises PT to $155.

Ticonderoga analyst says, "Despite headwinds across the portfolio that we had expected to dip production slightly (cyclones in Australia, unrest in Egypt, freeze-ups across West Texas), APA managed to bump sequential production by about 0.5%. Combined with high oil prices, this production gain gave the company its third best quarter in its history. We are raising our estimates on better expected production and realizations going forward, and our NAV rises to $192."

"Given Q1 cash flow of $2.2 B, and a forecast of $9.9 B for the year, APA wouldn’t have any trouble paying down debt. However, much of APA’s revenue is coming from overseas, and debt is in the US, so for tax reasons management is in no rush. We forecast modest debt reductions in 2011. Guidance for 2011 capex is $7.5 billion, but we expect it to be higher, with the difference spent mostly in North America. We are modeling $7.9 billion in capex for the year."

For more ratings news on Apache Corp. click here and for the rating history of Apache Corp. click here.

Shares of Apache Corp. closed at $126.92 yesterday.


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