UBS on U.S. Information Services: Q2 Earnings Comparison of MSCI, MCO & VRSK

June 29, 2012 12:16 PM EDT
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UBS on U.S. Information Services: Q2 Earnings Comparison of MSCI, MCO & VRSK

Analyst, Jennifer Huang, compares the second quarter estimates of MSCI Inc (Nasdaq: MSCI), Moody's Corp (NYSE: MCO), and Verisk Analytics (Nasdaq: VRSK). At this point, Huang has all three below consensus.

For MSCI: challenging asset-based fee comps, but reflected in valuation: Huang sees Q2 drop in asset-based fees and margins. She also expects cautious commentary from management about the outlook (including sales pipeline). Overall though, she thinks the headwinds are mostly priced into shares.

For MCO: lower debt issuance mostly factored in, focus on expense mgmt: Huang cuts Q2 EPS to $0.64, but feels the company can maintain FY guidance as long as debt issuance remains stable.

For VRSK: stable revenue growth, but expense headwinds could surprise: Huang's Q2 EPS is a $0.01 below consensus, seeing some stabilizing, but thinks valuation (23x) could be at risk if organic growth numbers aren't good enough to please investors.


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