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UPDATE - UBS Downgraded D.R. Horton (DHI) to Neutral; Recent Rally Leaves Shares Fairly Valued:

January 19, 2012 10:49 AM EST
Get Alerts DHI Hot Sheet
Price: $147.33 --0%

Rating Summary:
    13 Buy, 23 Hold, 1 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 7 | Down: 5 | New: 23
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UPDATE - UBS downgraded D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI) from Buy to Neutral.

UBS analyst said, "Since 8/31, DHI has risen +34%, ahead of the S&P 500 +7%. In turn, it now trades at 1.5x tangible BV (based on a discounted value for tax benefits). As outlined in our 10 Predictions for 2012 report (out today), we still expect a gradual recovery. In turn, we do not believe the earnings power needed to justify the current valuation can be achieved."

"Recent macro macro data increasingly suggests a more robust housing recovery. We believe this conclusion is overly optimistic, especially for owner occupied demand. We note that: 1) procyclical underwriting is unlikely to materialize given regulatory and macro uncertainty & 2) the transition of foreclosures from owner to renter occupied remains gradual. Further, we expect government policy to focus on economic stimulus (like mass refis), as opposed to rising homeownership rates."

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