Barclays Maintains an 'Equalweight' on P.F. Chang’s (PFCB); 2011 Investor Day Preview: Work in Progress; Insights Into Early Turnaround Efforts

November 15, 2011 2:10 PM EST
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Price: $51.47 --0%

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Barclays maintains an 'Equalweight' on P.F. Chang’s (NASDAQ: PFCB) price target of $35.00.

Barclays analyst says, "P.F. Chang's 2011 Investor Day, on 11/18 in Scottsdale, AZ, will be only the second such meeting in company history, with the first in 11/06. We expect presentations by the CEO, CFO, and leadership from each operating segment (Bistro, Pei Wei and Global Brands). The focus will be on early turnaround efforts to support a top-line recovery as we look to 2012, leaving the back half of 2012 as critical to assess the longer-term health and viability of both brands. The question remains whether efforts will resolve comp concerns without damaging consumer perception and financial performance. We expect uncertainty to limit near-term outperformance."

"A Look Ahead; We expect challenges to persist into 2012. On revenue, our forecast is for comps to remain negative near term, while unit growth to be re-accelerated at Pei Wei (high-single-digit growth). Guidance is for food inflation up 4-5%. With pricing power limited, we expect another year of restaurant margin pressure. Ultimately, we believe mid-single-digit EPS growth is reasonable, benefitting from new $100m share repurchase authorization, with additional support from a 3%+ dividend yield."

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on P.F. Chang’s click here. For more ratings news on P.F. Chang’s click here.

Shares of P.F. Chang’s closed at $32.02 yesterday.


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