Jefferies Cuts Price Target on Walgreen (WAG), Encourges a Settlement with Express Scripts (ESRX)

September 28, 2011 8:44 AM EDT
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Price: $76.05 --0%

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Jefferies is reaffirming its Buy rating on shares of Walgreen (NYSE: WAG) and is reducing its price target from $50 to $46 following its Q4 conference call.

The company reported better than expected Q4 results with EPS of $0.57, topping the firm by $0.03 and the consensus by $0.02. The firm notes that the upside was driven by better than expected margins, solid SG&A, and strong comp sales.

The firm reports that the worst case with the loss of the merger of Express Scripts (Nasdaq: ESRX) is a $0.21 loss in earnings per share for 2012.

An analyst at Jefferies comments, "We believe it behooves both ESRX and WAG to come to a settlement, especially as ESRX would essentially be sending a chunk of business to a major competitor, CVS Caremark (NYSE: CVS). WAG’s equity price, however, suggests that investors have not only discounted for the ESRX loss but also some of the potential loss of the Medco (NYSE: MHS) business as well, due to the proposed merger."

The firm is maintaining its Q1 EPS estimate of $0.67 but is lowering its 2012 estimate by $0.06 to $3.00. For 2013, Jefferies continues to forecast EPS of $3.42.

For more ratings news on Walgreen click here and for the rating history of Walgreen click here.

Shares of Walgreen closed at $33.77 yesterday.


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