Jefferies Comments on Vulcan Materials (VMC), Keeps PT at $50; Sees Recovery in Two Major Markets

August 30, 2011 7:27 AM EDT
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Price: $276.04 +1.98%

Rating Summary:
    20 Buy, 11 Hold, 0 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 8 | Down: 5 | New: 26
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Jefferies has issued some comments of Vulcan Materials Company (NYSE: VMC), while keeping its Buy rating and $50 price target.

Jefferies comments its $50 price target still suggests potentially 42 percent of upside for the stock. Amid the bullish aspect for Vulcan, Jefferies is trimming fiscal 2012 estimates slightly, and lowering "aggregate volume expectations from +6% to +2%."

The lowered volume expectations takes its "EBITDA forecast for 2012 by 7% from $510m to $476m and...EPS estimate from $(0.05) to $(0.22)."

California and Florida account for an aggregate 35 percent of Vulcan's sales, and Jefferies expects "California and Florida to recover strongly and again become amongst the fastest growing markets in the United States."

On its financial leverage, Jefferies comments, "Vulcan’s net debt to EBITDA ratio was 7.2 times at the end of 2010. However its debt to cap ratio, on which its covenants are based (max 65%) was only 41%. Major asset writedowns would have to occur for Vulcan to be at risk of breaking its covenant. In our view this is unlikely as Vulcan's assets are mainly its aggregates reserves."

Click here for more analyst color, or here for a ratings history on Vulcan Materials.


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