Dougherty & Co Cuts Price Target on Constant Contact (CTCT), Disappointing Outlook

August 1, 2011 11:43 AM EDT
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Price: $32.01 --0%

Rating Summary:
    2 Buy, 13 Hold, 2 Sell

Rating Trend: = Flat

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 12 | Down: 15 | New: 40
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Dougherty & Co is maintaining its Neutral rating on shares of Constant Contact (NASDAQ: CTCT) while reducing its price target from $28 to $18.

The company reported weak Q2 revenue results with $52.5 million, $73 thousand below the lower end of its previous Q2 sales guidance and $300 thousand below the firms estimate. EPS of $0.15 topped the firms estimate by $0.04.

Net adds were disappointing once again as total net adds have declined 22 percent year-over-year.

CTCT released its Q3 guidance with a non-GAAP EPS range of $0.21-$0.23 and revenue range of $54.2-$54.7 million, these figures were below what the consensus was forecasting. The company also tweaked its fiscal 2011 non-GAAP EPS guidance from $0.60-$0.65 to $0.63-$0.65. Its revenue guidance was lowered by $3 million to $214-$216 million.

The firm tweaked its FY11 and FY12 EPS estimates from $0.62 and $0.89 to $0.61 and $0.92. It also lowered its FY11 and FY12 revenues estimates from $216.1 million and $263.3 million to $213.3 million and $256.8 million.

An analyst at Dougherty & Co comments, "As results indicate, conversion continues to suffer. The company, however, blamed ARPU for the revenue shortfall. ARPU increased $0.40 sequentially to $37.86, which was the second-best sequential increase over the last four years. The company indicated that lower-than-expected ARPU growth contributed to $400,000 reduction, or $0.29/subscriber, in potential revenue in the Q2."

For more ratings news on Constant Contact click here and for the rating history of Constant Contact click here.

Shares of Constant Contact closed at $18.93 yesterday.


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