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Form 8-K JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORP For: Jan 28

January 28, 2016 7:36 AM EST


UNITED STATES
SECURITIES AND EXCHANGE COMMISSION
Washington, D.C. 20549
 
FORM 8-K
CURRENT REPORT
PURSUANT TO SECTION 13 OR 15(d) OF THE
SECURITIES EXCHANGE ACT OF 1934
Date of Report (Date of earliest event reported): January 28, 2016
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION
(Exact name of registrant as specified in its charter)
 
 
 
 
 
 
Delaware
 
000-49728
 
87-0617894
(State of Other Jurisdiction of
Incorporation)
 
(Commission
File Number)
 
(I.R.S. Employer
Identification No.)
 
 
27-01 Queens Plaza North, Long Island City, New York 11101
(Address of principal executive offices)             (Zip Code)
(718) 286-7900
(Registrant’s telephone number, including area code)
Check the appropriate box below if the Form 8-K filing is intended to simultaneously satisfy the filing obligation of the registrant under any of the following provisions:
¨ Written communications pursuant to Rule 425 under the Securities Act (17 CFR 230.425)
¨ Soliciting material pursuant to Rule 14a-12 under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14a-12)
¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 14d-2(b) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.14d-2(b))
¨ Pre-commencement communications pursuant to Rule 13e-4(c) under the Exchange Act (17 CFR 240.13e-4(c))





Item 7.01 Regulation FD Disclosure.
On January 28, 2016 we provided an update for investors presenting information relating to our financial outlook for the first quarter ending March 31, 2016 and full year 2016, and other information regarding our business. The update is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference.
Item 9.01 Financial Statements and Exhibits
(d) Exhibits
 
 
 
 
Exhibit
Number
  
Description
 
 
99.1

  
Investor Update dated January 28, 2016 of JetBlue Airways Corporation.







SIGNATURE
Pursuant to the requirements of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, the registrant has duly caused this report to be signed on its behalf by the undersigned thereunto duly authorized.
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
JETBLUE AIRWAYS CORPORATION
 
 
 
 
 
(Registrant)
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Date:
January 28, 2016
 
 
By:
 
/s/     Alexander Chatkewitz
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Vice President, Controller, and Chief Accounting Officer (Principal Accounting Officer)



EXHIBIT INDEX
 
 
 
 
Exhibit
Number
  
Exhibit
 
 
99.1
  
Investor Update dated January 28, 2016 of JetBlue Airways Corporation.



Investor Update

Investor Update: January 28, 2016

This investor update provides JetBlue’s investor guidance for the first quarter ending March 31, 2016 and full year 2016. The guidance provided below does not include the impact of Winter Storm Jonas, which caused over 900 flight cancellations to our schedule within the last week.
  

Recent Announcements

JetBlue has recently announced service between the following city pairs:
City Pair
Frequency
Start Date
Fort Lauderdale (FLL) - Barbados (BGI) (*)
1x Daily
April 28, 2016
Fort Lauderdale (FLL) - Aguadilla (BQN)
1x Daily
May 5, 2016
Boston (BOS) - Salt Lake City (SLC)
1x Daily
May 12, 2016
Fort Lauderdale (FLL) - San Diego (SAN)
1x Daily
June 16, 2016
(*) subject to Government approval


Capacity
Full year 2016 ASMs are estimated to increase 8.5% to 10.5% year-over-year, with a higher growth rate in the first half of the year. First quarter 2016 available seat miles (ASMs) are estimated to increase 14.0% to 16.0% year-over-year. Severe winter weather caused significant flight cancellations in the first quarter of 2015, which increases JetBlue’s 2016 capacity growth rate compared to a scheduled versus scheduled basis by about 2.5% in the first quarter and 0.5% for the full year.

Year-over-year capacity growth rate
First Quarter 2016
Full Year 2016
Scheduled (**)
Planned (***)
Difference
Scheduled (**)
Planned (***)
Difference
12.3%
14.0-16.0%
1.7-3.7%
-
8.5-10.5%
~0.5%

(**) Based on Diio Mi Data as of January 18, 2016. JetBlue has published its flight schedule until Sep 6, 2016.
(***) Planned capacity uses actual data for 2015 and the Jan 1-Jan 15 2016 period, and forecast for the remainder of 2016

JetBlue estimates the following distribution as a percentage of total ASMs by aircraft type:
First Quarter 2016
 
Full Year 2016
A320
A321 All-Core
A321 Mint
E190
 
A320
A321 All-Core
A321 Mint
E190
68.4%
10.4%
7.8%
13.4%
 
67.7%
10.3%
9.3%
12.7%

Average stage length is projected to increase year-over-year by approximately 1% both in the first quarter and the full year 2016.











1
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations • (718) 709-2202 • [email protected]

Investor Update



Operational Outlook
 
 
 
 
 
First Quarter
 
Full Year
 
 
2016
 
2016
Operating Expense Year-Over-Year Percentage Change
 
 
 
 
Unit Operating Expense Excluding Fuel and Profit Sharing
(CASM Ex-Fuel and Profit Sharing)
 
(2.0) - 0.0%
 
0.0% - 2.0%

 
 
 
 
First Quarter
 
Full Year
 
 
2016
 
2016
 
Fuel Expense
 
 
 
 
     Estimated Consumption (gallons)
186 million
 
764 million
 
     Estimated Fuel Price per Gallon, Net of Hedges ¹
$1.12 ²
 
 
 
 
 
¹Includes fuel taxes.
²JetBlue utilizes the forward Brent crude curve and the forward Brent crude to heating oil crack spread to calculate the unhedged portion of its prompt quarter.  As of January 15, 2016, the forward Brent crude per barrel price was $30 and the crack spread averaged $10 per barrel for the First quarter of 2016
 


Fuel Hedges

As of January 15, 2016 JetBlue’s advanced fuel derivative contracts are as follows:

 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Gallons
 
Estimated Percentage
of Consumption
 
Price
 
 
 
 
1Q16
 
-
 
-
 
 
2Q16
 
-
 
-
 
 
3Q16
 
19 million
 
10%
 
10% in USGC jet fuel swaps at an average of $1.30/gal


4Q16
 
19 million
 
10%
 
10% in USGC jet fuel swaps at an average of $1.34/gal




Other Income (Expense)
JetBlue estimates total Other Income (Expense) to be between ($25) and ($30) million in the first quarter and between ($105) and ($115) million for the full year.



2
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations • (718) 709-2202 • [email protected]

Investor Update


Tax Rate
JetBlue expects an effective annual tax rate of approximately 39%. However, the actual tax rate in the first quarter and full year 2016 could differ due to a number of factors.


Capital Expenditures
(In millions)
First Quarter 2016
 
Full Year 2016
Aircraft
Non-aircraft
Total
 
Aircraft
Non-aircraft
Total
$190
$40 - $50
$230 - $240
 
$670 - $720
$150 - $200
$820 - $920


Aircraft Delivery Schedule
As of December 31, 2015 JetBlue’s fleet comprised 130 Airbus A320 aircraft, 14 Airbus A321 All-Core aircraft, 11 Airbus A321 Mint aircraft, and 60 EMBRAER 190 aircraft. 91 aircraft were on order from Airbus and 24 aircraft were on order from Embraer.
 
 
Airbus A320
 
Airbus A321
 
EMBRAER 190
 
 
Aircraft
Mortgage
Lease
 
Aircraft
Mortgage
Lease
 
Aircraft
Mortgage
Lease
1Q16
 
 
3
 
2Q16
 
 
1
 
3Q16
 
 
3
 
4Q16
 
 
3
 
Total at Year End
 
130
45
24
 
35
8
 
60
30
30


Cabin Restyling Program
The program is expected to generate $100 million of annual incremental operating income upon completion

Fleet Type
Seat Count per Aircraft
Number of Aircraft Impacted
Timeline
Current
After Restyling
Difference
A320
150
162
+12
~130 retrofits
Retrofit starting at the beginning of 2017
Completion expected in 2019
A321 All-Core
190
200
+10
15 retrofits
3 new deliveries in 2016
All new deliveries beyond
New Deliveries starting in July 2016.
Retrofit starting in the third quarter of 2016.
Completion expected by the end of 2016
A321 Mint
16 Mint
143 Core
16 Mint
143 Core
-
-
Not part of the program
E190
100
100
-
-
Not part of the program






3
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations • (718) 709-2202 • [email protected]

Investor Update

Historical Revenue Performance
(year-over-year unit revenue growth)

 
First Quarter
Second Quarter
Third Quarter
Fourth Quarter
PRASM
RASM
PRASM
RASM
PRASM
RASM
PRASM
RASM
2014
0.9%
1.1%
6.0%
5.6%
2.4%
1.4%
(0.1)%
(1.0)%
2015
4.5%
3.0%
1.4%
0.4%
(0.6)%
0.0%
(1.9)%
(0.2)%


Share Count
Share count estimates for calculating basic and diluted earnings per share are as follows:

 
 
First Quarter 2016
 
 
Basic Share Count
 
Diluted Share Count
 
Interest Add-back
Net Income Range
 
(in millions)
 
(in millions)
 
(in millions)*
Zero - $10 million
 
321.6
 
324.1
 
$—
$10 million or greater
 
321.6
 
341.7
 
$1
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
 
Full Year 2016
 
 
Basic Share Count
 
Diluted Share Count
 
Interest Add-back
Net Income Range
 
(in millions)
 
(in millions)
 
(in millions)*
Zero - $23 million
 
327.1
 
329.3
 
$—
$23 million or greater
 
327.1
 
342.9
 
$1

* Net of taxes
These share count estimates assume 20% annual stock price appreciation and that all of the holders of the 6.75% convertible debentures due 2039 (Series B) will be converted to shares during the fourth quarter of 2016.  These share count estimates do not include any share repurchases that may occur throughout 2016 under JetBlue’s share buyback program.  The number of shares used in JetBlue’s actual earnings per share will likely be different than those stated above.

This Investor Update contains statements of a forward-looking nature which represent our management's beliefs and assumptions concerning future events. When used in this document, the words “expects,” “plans,” “anticipates,” “indicates,” “believes,” “forecast,” “guidance,” “outlook,” “may,” “will,” “should,” “seeks,” “targets” and similar expressions are intended to identify forward-looking statements. Forward-looking statements involve risks, uncertainties and assumptions, and are based on information currently available to us. Actual results may differ materially from those expressed in the forward-looking statements due to many factors, including, without limitation, our extremely competitive industry; volatility in financial and credit markets which could affect our ability to obtain debt and/or lease financing or to raise funds through debt or equity issuances; volatility in fuel prices, maintenance costs and interest rates; our ability to implement our growth strategy; our significant fixed obligations and substantial indebtedness; our ability to attract and retain qualified personnel and maintain our culture as we grow; our reliance on high daily aircraft utilization; our dependence on the New York metropolitan market and the effect of increased congestion in this market; our reliance on automated systems and technology; our being subject to potential unionization, work stoppages, slowdowns or increased labor costs; our reliance on a limited number of suppliers; our presence in some international emerging markets that may experience political or economic instability or may subject us to legal risk; reputational and business risk from information security breaches; changes in or additional government regulation; changes in our industry due to other airlines' financial condition; global economic conditions, or an economic downturn leading to a continuing or accelerated decrease in demand for domestic and business air travel; the spread of infectious diseases; and external geopolitical events and conditions. Further information concerning these and other factors is contained in the Company's Securities and Exchange Commission filings, including but not limited to, the Company's 2014 Annual Report on Form 10-K and 2015 Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q. We undertake no obligation to update any forward-looking statements to reflect events or circumstances that may arise after the date of this release.

4
JetBlue Airways Investor Relations • (718) 709-2202 • [email protected]


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