Triad Guaranty Inc. Reports Third Quarter Results

November 10, 2009 4:30 PM EST

WINSTON-SALEM, N.C., Nov. 10 /PRNewswire-FirstCall/ -- Triad Guaranty Inc. (Nasdaq: TGIC) today reported a net loss for the quarter ended September 30, 2009 of $101.9 million compared to a net loss of $359.4 million for the second quarter of 2009 and a net loss of $160.1 million for the third quarter of 2008. The 2009 third quarter diluted loss per share was $6.78 compared to a diluted loss per share of $23.91 for the 2009 second quarter and $10.69 for the third quarter of 2008.

The net loss for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 was $516.5 million compared to a net loss of $508.9 million for the nine months ended September 30, 2008. The diluted loss per share was $34.44 for the nine months ended September 30, 2009 compared to a diluted loss per share of $34.14 for the nine months ended September 30, 2008.

Ken Jones, President and CEO, said, "The third quarter continued to be a very difficult environment for our business. First-time defaults were down slightly from the second quarter of 2009, but continued at a high volume. Compounding the problem, the cure rates on existing defaults were at historic lows and have shown little sign of improving. As a company in run-off, our primary focus remains the efficient and effective servicing of our insured portfolio, particularly with respect to loss management, in order to maximize our claims-paying ability."

Mr. Jones continued, "Our financial position continued to deteriorate during the third quarter and we reported a deficit in assets of $625 million at September 30, 2009. To meet all of our existing obligations, we will need to earn at least $625 million during the run-off of our existing business."

For additional information concerning our results for the third quarter of 2009 and our financial position at September 30, 2009, please see our Quarterly Report on Form 10-Q for the quarter ended September 30, 2009, which will be filed today with the Securities and Exchange Commission and will be available at www.sec.gov or via our web site www.triadguaranty.com. We have updated the quarterly statistical and supplemental information for the 2009 third quarter results on our web site at www.triadguaranty.com. The supplemental information can be found under "Investors" and then under "Webcasts and Presentations" by the title "Supplemental Information - Third Quarter 2009".

(Relevant Triad Guaranty Inc. financial and statistical information follows)

Triad Guaranty Inc.'s wholly owned subsidiary, Triad Guaranty Insurance Corporation, is a nationwide mortgage insurer pursuing a voluntary run-off of its existing in-force book of business. For more information, please visit the Company's web site at www.triadguaranty.com.

Certain of the statements contained in this release are "forward-looking statements" and are made pursuant to the safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. These statements include estimates and assumptions related to economic, competitive, regulatory, operational and legislative developments. These forward-looking statements are subject to change, uncertainty and circumstances that are, in many instances, beyond our control and they have been made based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future developments and their potential effect on us. Actual developments and their results could differ materially from those expected by us, depending on the outcome of a number of factors, including: the possibility that the Illinois Department of Insurance may take various actions regarding Triad if it does not operate its business in accordance with its revised financial and operating plan and the corrective orders, including seeking receivership proceedings; our ability to operate our business in run-off and maintain a solvent run-off; our ability to continue as a going concern; the possibility of general economic and business conditions that are different than anticipated; legislative, regulatory, and other similar developments; changes in interest rates, employment rates, the housing market, the mortgage industry and the stock market; our ability to maintain the listing of our common stock on The NASDAQ Stock Market; and various factors described under "Risk Factors" and in the "Safe Harbor Statement under the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995" in our Annual Report on Form 10-K for the year ended December 31, 2008 and in other reports and statements filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission. Forward-looking statements are based upon our current expectations and beliefs concerning future events and we undertake no obligation to update or revise any forward-looking statements to reflect the impact of circumstances or events that arise after the date the forward-looking statements are made.

                               Triad Guaranty Inc.
                       Consolidated Statement of Operations

                                   Three Months Ended     Nine Months Ended
                                      September 30,         September 30,
                                       (Unaudited)           (Unaudited)

                                       2009       2008       2009       2008
                                       ----       ----       ----       ----
                                          (Dollars in thousands except per
                                                    share amounts)

      Earned premiums               $35,576    $65,654   $144,767   $207,583
      Net investment income          12,342     10,349     34,393     29,071
      Net realized
       investment gains
       (losses)                       3,253     (6,519)       705     (7,615)
      Other income                      127          2        131          6
                                        ---        ---        ---        ---
        Total revenues               51,298     69,486    179,996    229,045

      Losses and loss
       adjustment expenses:
        Net settled claims          157,881     59,357    361,664    167,708
        Change in reserves          (15,836)   165,958    302,748    559,469
        Loss
         adjustment
         expenses                     3,713      5,879     14,291     18,025
                                      -----      -----     ------     ------
            Net losses and loss
             adjustment expenses    145,758    231,194    678,703    745,202

      Interest expense                1,202        691      3,791      2,863
      Policy acquisition costs            -          -          -     39,416
      Other operating
       expenses - net                 9,659      8,726     27,750     50,070
                                      -----      -----     ------     ------
      Loss before income taxes     (105,321)  (171,125)  (530,248)  (608,506)

      Income tax benefit             (3,426)   (11,030)   (13,760)   (99,586)
                                     ------    -------    -------    -------

      Net loss                    $(101,895) $(160,095) $(516,488) $(508,920)
                                  =========  =========  =========  =========

      Diluted loss per share         $(6.78)   $(10.69)   $(34.44)   $(34.14)

      Diluted weighted
       average common and
       common stock equivalents
       outstanding (in
       thousands)                    15,033     14,973     14,995     14,907



                                 Triad Guaranty Inc.
                              Consolidated Balance Sheet

                                   (Unaudited)                  (Unaudited)
                                  September 30,  December 31,  September 30,
                                      2009          2008           2008
                                      ----          ----           ----

                                  (Dollars in thousands except per share
                                                  amounts)
      Assets:
        Invested assets:
           Fixed maturities,
            available for sale, at
            market                         $814,821      $854,186   $862,486
           Equity securities,
            available for sale, at
            market                               56           583        615
           Short-term investments            32,028        40,653     27,619
                                             ------        ------     ------
                                            846,905       895,422    890,720

        Cash and cash equivalents             7,480        39,940     47,818
        Prepaid
         federal
         income tax                               -            15         15
        Reinsurance recoverable             245,436       150,848    111,827
        Other assets                         54,331        44,309     51,576
                                             ------        ------     ------

             Total assets                $1,154,152    $1,130,534 $1,101,956
                                         ==========    ========== ==========

      Liabilities:
        Losses and loss
         adjustment
         expenses                        $1,576,303    $1,187,840 $1,042,053
        Unearned premiums                    13,385        15,863     16,870
        Deferred income tax                       -             -     22,889
        Long-term debt                       34,537        34,529     34,527
        Deferred
         payment
         obligation                          97,048             -          -
        Other liabilities                    57,906        28,968     14,016
                                             ------        ------     ------

            Total liabilities             1,779,179     1,267,200  1,130,355

      Stockholders' equity:
        Accumulated deficit                (771,997)     (255,509)  (133,302)
        Accumulated other
         comprehensive
         income                              33,626         6,063     (7,913)
        Other equity accounts               113,344       112,780    112,816
                                            -------       -------    -------

           Total
            stockholders'
            deficit in assets              (625,027)     (136,666)   (28,399)
                                           --------      --------    -------

      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity              $1,154,152    $1,130,534 $1,101,956
                                         ==========    ========== ==========


      Stockholders' deficit
       in assets per share:                 $(40.96)       $(9.01)    $(1.88)

      Common shares
       outstanding                       15,258,128    15,161,259 15,116,259



                         Triad Guaranty Inc.
                 Consolidated Statement of Cash Flow


                                              Nine Months Ended
                                                 September 30,
                                                 (Unaudited)
                                             2009           2008
                                             ----           ----

                                           (Dollars in Thousands)

    OPERATING ACTIVITIES
    Net loss                            $(516,488)     $(508,920)
    Adjustments to reconcile
     net loss to net cash
     provided by operating
     activities:
      Increase in loss and
       unearned premium reserves          385,985        681,191
      Amounts due to/
       from reinsurer                     (95,275)      (111,419)
      Net realized
       investment (gains)
       losses                                (705)         7,615
      Policy acquisition
       costs deferred                           -         (3,173)
      Amortization of policy
       acquisition costs                        -         39,416
      Deferred income taxes               (14,841)       (94,991)
      Redemption of Tax
       and Loss Bonds                          15        115,993
      Deferred payment
       obligation                          97,048              -
      Other operating
       activities                          29,192         24,926
                                           ------         ------

    Net cash provided by
     operating activities                (115,069)       150,638
                                         --------        -------

    INVESTING ACTIVITIES
      Purchases of investment
       securities                        (171,049)      (782,316)
      Sales and maturities of
       investment securities              245,225        612,418
      Net change in short-
       term investments                     8,538         26,692
      Other investing
       activities                            (105)        (1,348)
                                             ----         ------

    Net cash provided by (used
     in) investing activities              82,609       (144,554)
                                           ------       --------

    FINANCING ACTIVITIES
      Repayments on
       credit facility                          -        (80,000)
                                              ----       -------

    Net cash used in
     financing activities                       -        (80,000)
                                              ----       -------

    Foreign currency
     translation adjustment                     -         (3,077)
                                              ----        ------

    Net decrease in cash                  (32,460)       (76,993)
    Cash at beginning of period            39,940        124,811
                                           ------        -------

    Cash at end of period                  $7,480        $47,818
                                           ======        =======



                             TRIAD GUARANTY INC.
                  Sequential Quarterly Financial Statements
                                 (unaudited)

                                        Condensed Statements of Operations
                                               For The Quarter Ended

                                               (Dollars in thousands)
                                              ----------------------
                                           Sept 30,   Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                                             2009       2009       2009
                                             ----       ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums                     $35,576    $64,833    $44,358
      Net investment income                12,342     10,859     11,192
      Realized investment gains
       (losses)                             3,253      2,017     (4,565)
      Other income (loss)                     127          2          2
                                              ---        ---        ---
        Total revenues                     51,298     77,711     50,987
                                           ------     ------     ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net settled claims               157,881    149,863     53,920
         Change in reserves               (15,836)   278,956     39,628
         Loss adjustment expenses           3,713      2,549      8,029
                                            -----      -----      -----
      Net losses and LAE                  145,758    431,368    101,577
      Change in premium deficiency
       reserve                                  -          -          -
      Interest expense                      1,202      1,895        694
      Amortization of DAC                       -          -          -
      Other operating expenses              9,659      8,680      9,411
                                            -----      -----      -----
        Total losses and expenses         156,619    441,943    111,682
                                          -------    -------    -------
    Income (loss) before income taxes    (105,321)  (364,232)   (60,695)
      Income taxes (benefit)               (3,426)    (4,813)    (5,521)
                                           ------     ------     ------
    Net income (loss)                   $(101,895) $(359,419)  $(55,174)
                                        =========  =========   ========


                                   Dec 31,    Sep 30,    Jun 30,    Mar 31,
                                    2008       2008       2008       2008
                                    ----       ----       ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums             $49,840    $65,654    $69,864    $72,065
      Net investment income        10,509     10,349      9,175      9,547
      Realized investment gains
       (losses)                   (18,944)    (6,519)    (3,799)     2,703
      Other income (loss)               2          2          2          2
                                      ---        ---        ---        ---
        Total revenues             41,407     69,486     75,242     84,317
                                   ------     ------     ------     ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net settled claims        69,372     59,357     68,263     40,471
         Change in reserves       106,080    165,958    218,568    174,561
         Loss adjustment expenses   2,647      5,879      5,918      6,227
                                    -----      -----      -----      -----
      Net losses and LAE          178,099    231,194    292,749    221,259
      Change in premium deficiency
       reserve                          -          -    (15,000)    15,000
      Interest expense                694        691        696      1,476
      Amortization of DAC               -          -          -     39,416
      Other operating expenses      8,639      8,726     27,238     14,106
                                    -----      -----     ------     ------
        Total losses and expenses 187,432    240,611    305,683    291,257
                                  -------    -------    -------    -------
    Income (loss) before
     income taxes                (146,025)  (171,125)  (230,441)  (206,940)
      Income taxes (benefit)      (23,818)   (11,030)   (31,630)   (56,926)
                                  -------    -------    -------    -------
    Net income (loss)           $(122,207) $(160,095) $(198,811) $(150,014)
                                =========  =========  =========  =========


                                           Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                             2007       2007
                                             ----       ----
    Revenue:
      Earned premiums                     $73,130    $72,090
      Net investment income                 9,544      8,370
      Realized investment gains
       (losses)                               (29)        85
      Other income (loss)                       2          2
                                              ---        ---
        Total revenues                     82,647     80,547
                                           ------     ------
    Losses and expenses:
         Net settled claims                36,341     28,471
         Change in reserves               150,687     76,612
         Loss adjustment expenses           4,624      1,730
                                            -----      -----
      Net losses and LAE                  191,652    106,813
      Change in premium deficiency
       reserve                                  -          -
      Interest expense                      1,828      1,161
      Amortization of DAC                   4,637      4,567
      Other operating expenses             10,895     11,686
                                           ------     ------
        Total losses and expenses         209,012    124,227
                                          -------    -------
    Income (loss) before income taxes    (126,365)   (43,680)
      Income taxes (benefit)              (51,406)   (11,831)
                                          -------    -------
    Net income (loss)                    $(74,959)  $(31,849)
                                         ========   ========



                                         Condensed  Balance Sheets As Of
                                              (Dollars in thousands)
                                              ----------------------
                                            Sept 30,     Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                              2009        2009        2009
                                              ----        ----        ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                     $846,905    $851,640    $918,531
      Cash                                   7,480      31,600      21,394
      Real estate acquired                       -           -         526
      Deferred policy acquisition costs          -           -           -
      Prepaid federal income tax                 -           -          15
      Reinsurance recoverable              245,436     234,248     182,589
      Other assets                          54,331      57,650      52,307
                                            ------      ------      ------
      Total assets                      $1,154,152  $1,175,138  $1,175,362
                                        ==========  ==========  ==========

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
            Losses and loss adjustment
             expenses                   $1,576,303  $1,591,207  $1,262,746
            Premium deficiency reserve           -           -           -
            Deferred income taxes                -           -           -
            Borrowing under credit
             facility                            -           -           -
            Long term debt                  34,537      34,535      34,532
            Deferred payment obligation     97,048      27,020           -
            Accrued expenses and other
             liabilities                    71,291      52,066      59,477
                                            ------      ------      ------
      Total liabilities                  1,779,179   1,704,828   1,356,755
      Total stockholders' equity
       (deficit in assets)                (625,027)   (529,690)   (181,393)
                                          --------    --------    --------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity             $1,154,152  $1,175,138  $1,175,362
                                        ==========  ==========  ==========


                                Dec 31,     Sep 30,     Jun 30,     Mar 31,
                                 2008        2008        2008        2008
                                 ----        ----        ----        ----
    Assets
      Invested assets          $895,422    $890,720    $869,022    $760,073
      Cash                       39,940      47,818      19,669      80,544
      Real estate acquired          713       3,661       6,202       8,993
      Deferred policy
       acquisition costs              -           -           -           -
      Prepaid federal income tax     15          15      63,184     115,598
      Reinsurance recoverable   150,848     111,827      55,316      93,244
      Other assets               43,596      47,915      50,405      52,572
                                 ------      ------      ------      ------
      Total assets           $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798  $1,111,024
                             ==========  ==========  ==========  ==========

    Liabilities and stockholders'
     equity
      Liabilities:
            Losses and loss
             adjustment
             expenses        $1,187,840  $1,042,053    $817,262    $547,766
            Premium deficiency
             reserve                  -           -           -      96,073
            Deferred income taxes     -      22,889      30,386      61,522
            Borrowing under credit
             facility                 -           -           -           -
            Long term debt       34,529      34,527      34,527      34,522
            Deferred payment
             obligation               -           -           -           -
            Accrued expenses and
             other liabilities   44,830      30,887      40,714      32,699
                                 ------      ------      ------      ------
      Total liabilities       1,267,199   1,130,356     922,889     772,582
      Total stockholders' equity
       (deficit in assets)     (136,665)    (28,400)    140,909     338,442
                               --------     -------     -------     -------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity  $1,130,534  $1,101,956  $1,063,798  $1,111,024
                             ==========  ==========  ==========  ==========


                                            Dec 31,     Sep 30,
                                             2007        2007
                                             ----        ----
    Assets
      Invested assets                     $784,539    $794,373
      Cash                                 124,811      30,617
      Real estate acquired                  10,860      12,566
      Deferred policy acquisition costs     36,243      35,574
      Prepaid federal income tax           116,008     168,817
      Reinsurance recoverable                5,815           2
      Other assets                          54,577      54,724
                                            ------      ------
      Total assets                      $1,132,853  $1,096,673
                                        ==========  ==========

    Liabilities and stockholders' equity
      Liabilities:
            Losses and loss adjustment
             expenses                     $359,939    $200,455
            Premium deficiency reserve           -           -
            Deferred income taxes          123,297     170,477
            Borrowing under credit
             facility                       80,000      80,000
            Long term debt                  34,519      34,517
            Deferred payment obligation          -           -
            Accrued expenses and other
             liabilities                    36,247      39,754
                                            ------      ------
      Total liabilities                    634,002     525,203
      Total stockholders' equity
       (deficit in assets)                 498,851     571,470
                                           -------     -------
      Total liabilities and
       stockholders' equity             $1,132,853  $1,096,673
                                        ==========  ==========

SOURCE Triad Guaranty Inc.


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