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Barclays on Technology: Barclays Tech Conference - Day 2 Recap

December 9, 2011 3:17 PM EST
Get Alerts TXN Hot Sheet
Price: $174.19 -0.35%

Rating Summary:
    18 Buy, 23 Hold, 6 Sell

Rating Trend: Up Up

Today's Overall Ratings:
    Up: 11 | Down: 12 | New: 9
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Barclays on Technology: Barclays Tech Conference - Day 2 Recap

Analyst, C.J. Muse, said, "Clearly, Texas Instuments (NYSE: TXN) / Altera (Nasdaq: ALTR) comments are a setback for the group, and reinforce our confidence that SPE and smartphone leveraged semis should outperform over the near term (i.e. QUALCOMM (Nasdaq: QCOM), Broadcom (Nasdaq: BRCM), Teradyne (NYSE: TER), Lam Research (Nasdaq: LRCX), Skyworks (Nasdaq: SWKS), Atmel (Nasdaq: ATML)). But into 2012, we reiterate our positive view on semis, with our top picks in semis remaining QCOM, Intel (Nasdaq: INTC), ALTR, SWKS, Avago (Nasdaq: AVGO), and ATML, and LRCX and TER in semi equipment. Yesterday, we hosted presentations from leading semiconductor/SPE companies including in comm (ALTR, including a mid-Q update, IDT Corp (Nasdaq: IDTI), Volterra (Nasdaq: VLTR), Cypress Semi (Nasdaq: CY), Entropic (Nasdaq: ENTR)); analog (Freescale (NYSE: FSL) + Texas Instuments (NYSE: TXN) mid-Q update); and SPE (ASML (Nasdaq: ASML), LRCX, TER, LTXC, Brooks (Nasdaq: BRKS)). Below we highlight our key takeaways:

1) Comm/Industrial - Negative Updates from TXN/ALTR Weigh on Outlook; 2) Analog - FSL Continues to Point to 1Q12 Trough: Supported by comments from FSL as well as negative commentary from TXN, we continue to see one more cut for analog (consensus modeling +1% Q/Q vs. typical seasonality of -4%); 3) Communications - Broad Softness, CY Believes Weakness Continues into Q1: Comm names echoed continued softness (particularly in wireless infrastructure) with very low visibility; and 4) SPE - Test at Trough, Front End Commentary Incrementally Better: With
presentations today from front end companies LRCX, ASML, and BRKS, and back end companies TER and LTXC, the general takeaway was that business fundamentals are bottoming.


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