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Wall Street upgrades Brazilian equities after election first-round surprise

Tue, 06 Oct 2026 09:06:44 -0400

Investing.com -- Morgan Stanley and JPMorgan upgraded Brazil to Overweight after right-wing Senator Flavio Bolsonaro outperformed polls in the first round of the presidential election, betting on further gains after a sharp market rally.

Bolsonaro took 47% of the vote against 45% for President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva, setting up a runoff later this month. MSCI Brazil rallied about 13% on Monday, but Morgan Stanley strategists still see further upside of roughly 10% in equities and 10% in the currency by year-end as risk premiums decline.

The team led by Nikolaj Lippmann added beta to the bank’s Brazil and Latin America model

Wall Street upgrades Brazilian equities after election first-round surprise

Tue, 06 Oct 2026 09:06:44 -0400

The team led by Nikolaj Lippmann added beta to the bank’s Brazil and Latin America model

Wall Street upgrades Brazilian equities after election first-round surprise

Tue, 06 Oct 2026 09:06:37 -0400

The team led by Nikolaj Lippmann added beta to the bank’s Brazil and Latin America model

iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) call put ratio 6.3 calls to 1 put with a focus on November 47 and 49 calls, share price up 12.5%

Mon, 05 Oct 2026 10:20:39 -0400

iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) 30-day option implied volatility is at 43; compared to its 52-week range of 22 to 60. Call put ratio 6.3 calls to 1 put with a focus on November 47 and 49 calls as share price up 12.5%.

iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) March 44 and 45 calls active into elections

Mon, 05 Oct 2026 05:46:21 -0400

iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) 30-day option implied volatility is at 61; compared to its 52-week range of 22 to 60 with a focus on March 44 and 45 calls into elections.

iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) spreader of 12267 contracts of October 9 weekly 38, 40.50 and 41.50 calls amid Presidential elections, energy and commodity prices

Fri, 02 Oct 2026 10:53:24 -0400

iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) 30-day option implied volatility is at 61; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 60. Call put ratio 10.7 calls to 1 put with a focus on a spreader of 12267 contracts of October 9 weekly 38, 40.50 and 41.50 calls amid Presidential elections, energy and commodity prices.

iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) spreader active into Presidential elections, higher energy and commodity prices

Thu, 17 Sep 2026 10:33:24 -0400

iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) 30-day option implied volatility is at 43; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 43. Call put ratio 17 calls to 1 put with a focus on a spreader of 40K contracts of November 44 and 47 calls into Presidential elections, higher energy and commodity prices.

iShares MSCI Brazil (EWZ) call put ratio 3.8 calls to 1 put with a focus on 8K contracts of August 35 calls

Thu, 20 Aug 2026 10:14:57 -0400

iShares MSCI Brazil (NYSE: EWZ) 30-day option implied volatility is at 26; compared to its 52-week range of 23 to 41. Call put ratio 3.8 calls to 1 put with a focus on 8K contracts of August 35 calls.

Morgan Stanley sees emerging catalysts across Latin America

Mon, 20 Jul 2026 07:27:45 -0400

Investing.com -- Morgan Stanley said catalysts are starting to emerge across Latin America as global investor positioning in emerging markets remains low relative to recent history. Global investor positioning in emerging markets fell by about 21 basis points in May but appears to be recovering.

The bank said inflation volatility and debate over Federal Reserve policy direction keeps emerging markets in limbo. Morgan Stanley expects no rate hikes in 2026, contrary to market expectations.

In Brazil, Morgan Stanley said lower inflation and a slowing late-cycle economy could support lower interest rates. The bank maintains an overweight rating on Brazilian equities, noting that

Morgan Stanley sees emerging catalysts across Latin America

Mon, 20 Jul 2026 07:27:45 -0400

The bank said inflation volatility and debate over Federal Reserve policy direction keeps emerging markets in limbo. Morgan Stanley expects no rate hikes in 2026, contrary to market expectations.

In Brazil, Morgan Stanley said lower inflation and a slowing late-cycle economy could support lower interest rates. The bank maintains an overweight rating on Brazilian equities, noting that

Citi sees Brazil inflation above forecast, Mexico CPI surprises lower