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GoPro (GPRO) Price Target Raised to $100 at FBN

October 31, 2014 1:32 PM

FBN Securities maintained an Outperform rating on GoPro (NASDAQ: GPRO) and raised its price target to $100.00 (from $90.00). Analyst Shebly Seyrafi called its Q3 a blowout quarter.

"GPRO’s momentum is continuing, it has a strong product cycle that is just beginning, and the GM and ASP metrics have good upside near-term. Investors should be buying at current levels," said Seyrafi.

"The company just reported a blowout quarter with revenue of $280M being 6% above consensus, units of 1.089M being 8% above consensus, and GM of 44.5% being nicely above its target range of 42-44%. With the announcement of the HERO4 on September 29, we expect unit sales to almost double Q/Q (to around 2.1M units) in FQ4. For FQ4, the company is guiding for revenue of $550-580M, at least 10% above prior consensus of $500M, flattish GM Q/Q (but we see upside here as we expect mix to be favorable as we think that the higher-priced ($499) HERO4 Black will be a top seller, and controlled opex (up only about 8-10% Q/Q)," continued the analyst.

"Bears could make noise about EMEA and APAC (where sales are made more through distributors) being down 30% Y/Y and 12% Y/Y, respectively. However, this was due to deliberate action by the company to reduce channel inventory in front of the release of the HERO4. GPRO expects sales to each geographic region to grow Y/Y and Q/Q in FQ4. With favorable product mix (helped by the HERO4 Black, where the company is seeing “very nice acceptance”) and revenue roughly doubling Q/Q, we see upside to company guidance for GM to be flattish (at 44% +/- 50bp) in FQ4. ASP, which fell 10% Q/Q to $257 due to flushing out the prior HERO3+ Black model (so GPRO was supply constrained on this model), should move higher as company now has two products (HERO4 Black and HERO4 Silver) at $399 and above price points versus just one product before," he added.

For an analyst ratings summary and ratings history on GoPro click here. For more ratings news on GoPro click here.

Shares of GoPro closed at $68.25 yesterday.

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