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Yum! Brands Inc (YUM) Posts Q3 adj.-EPS of 87c; Cuts FY14 Outlook

October 7, 2014 4:17 PM

Yum! Brands Inc (NYSE: YUM) reported Q3 EPS of $0.87, versus the analyst estimate of $0.83. Revenue for the quarter came in at $3.35 billion versus the consensus estimate of $3.48 billion.

CHINA UPDATE

On July 20th, an undercover report was televised in China depicting improper food handling practices by supplier Shanghai Husi, a division of OSI, which is a large, global supplier to many in the restaurant industry. This triggered extensive news coverage in China that has shaken consumer confidence and impacted brand usage. Subsequently, the Shanghai FDA launched an investigation into this matter, alleging illegal activity by OSI. Upon learning of these events, we terminated our relationship with OSI globally, with minimal disruption to our menu offerings in China. Even though OSI was a minor supplier, sales at KFC and Pizza Hut were disproportionately impacted given our category-leading positions. While sales are rebounding, they continue to be negative. Our brands have proven resilient over time and we expect this to be the case with this situation as well.

REVISED 2014 OUTLOOK

It is difficult to confidently forecast the exact trajectory of China sales. In our experience, sales typically take six to nine months to recover from these types of events. With the assumption that China same-store sales continue to improve, but are negative for the fourth-quarter, we now estimate 2014 EPS growth to be between 6% and 10% versus prior year, excluding Special Items.

DAVID NOVAK COMMENTS

David C. Novak, Chairman and CEO said, "I'm absolutely confident in Yum! Brands' ability to deliver strong, sustainable growth in the years ahead despite the recent supplier incident in China, which has significantly impacted China sales, leading us to reduce our full-year EPS outlook.

China sales are on the path to recovery and we expect to develop at least 700 new restaurants in China this year, which we're confident will ultimately deliver high returns as we further capitalize on the world’s fastest growing consuming class. Outside of China, we expect continued solid sales and profit growth at our KFC division, led by strong international performance and improving U.S. results. At Taco Bell, we’re extremely pleased with restaurant margins of nearly 21% in the quarter and the overall results of our breakfast offering, which has given us a new growth platform to build upon in the years to come. At Pizza Hut, we are making progress with our U.S. turnaround and have major actions in place to drive same-store sales growth balance of year and beyond.

Overall, our business model is compelling and we firmly believe we are building momentum behind major initiatives around the world that will drive strong sales and profit growth in 2015. We remain focused on the three keys to driving shareholder value: new-unit development, same-store sales growth and generating high returns on invested capital."

For earnings history and earnings-related data on Yum! Brands Inc (YUM) click here.

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