Procter & Gamble (NYSE: PG) reported Q4 EPS of $1.43, $0.01 better than the analyst estimate of $1.42. Revenue for the quarter came in at $21.2 billion versus the consensus estimate of $21.42 billion.

GUIDANCE:

Procter & Gamble sees FY2027 EPS of $6.89-$7.11, versus the consensus of $7.02.

• P&G expects fiscal year 2027 all-in sales growth in the range of one to three percent versus the prior year. The Company also expects organic sales growth in the range of one to three percent versus prior year. Included in this organic sales growth guidance is a headwind of 30 to 50 basis points from brand, product form and go-to-market discontinuations.
• P&G expects fiscal year 2027 diluted net earnings per share growth in the range of one to five percent versus fiscal 2026 GAAP EPS of $6.62. GAAP EPS includes expected non-core restructuring charges of $0.13 to $0.17 per share. P&G expects its fiscal 2027 core earnings per share growth in the range of in-line to three percent versus fiscal 2026 core EPS of $6.89. This outlook equates to a range of $6.89 to $7.11 per share, with a mid-point estimate of $7.00, or an increase of one and a half percent.
• The Company estimates a headwind of approximately $1 billion after-tax driven by higher raw materials, energy and transportation costs, $150 million after-tax from higher net interest expense, $150 million after-tax from lower non-operating income and $50 million after-tax from unfavorable foreign exchange rates. Combined, these impacts equate to a headwind of $0.56 per share for fiscal 2027, or an eight percent drag on core EPS growth.
• The Company is not able to reconcile its forward-looking non-GAAP cash flow and tax rate measures without unreasonable efforts given the unpredictability of the timing and amounts of discrete items, such as acquisitions, divestitures, or impairments, which could significantly impact GAAP results.
• P&G expects its core effective tax rate to be approximately 20% in fiscal 2027, in-line with fiscal 2026.
• Capital spending is estimated to be in the range of four and a half to five and a half percent of fiscal 2027 net sales.
• P&G expects adjusted free cash flow productivity of 85% to 90% and expects to pay around $10 billion in dividends and to repurchase approximately $5 billion of common shares in fiscal year 2027.

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